Strong Storms Late Tomorrow Night; Frost Early Thursday

WARM, DRY MONDAY: With a partly sunny sky, we project a high close to 80 degrees this afternoon. Clouds increase late tonight, and tomorrow will be a mostly cloudy, mild day with only an outside risk of a shower. The high tomorrow will be in the 76-80 degree range for most North/Central Alabama communities.

STRONG STORMS TOMORROW NIGHT: A cold front will push a line of thunderstorms into our state late tomorrow night, and those will pack a punch. SPC has the standard “slight risk” of severe storms defined for Northwest Alabama… areas west of a line from Aliceville to Jasper to Huntsville. A “marginal risk” extends eastward to Heflin, Prattville, and Atmore.

TIMING: The line of storms should enter the northwest corner of Alabama around 10:00 tomorrow night; reaching I-59 (Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Gadsden), around 2:00 a.m. Wednesday. The weakening line will move down to near Montgomery by 3:30-4:00 a.m.

THREATS: The main threat with the line of storms will come from strong, possibly damaging straight line winds. An isolated, short lived tornado is possible, mainly over Northwest Alabama in the “slight risk” zone. A few of the heavier storms could produce some small hail.

RAIN AMOUNTS: Rain totals should be 1/2 to 3/4″ for most places; no flooding issues are expected.

The sky becomes mostly sunny Wednesday, but the day will be breezy and much cooler with a high only in the low 60s… temperatures won’t get out of the 50s up in the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabamaa.

FROST POTENTIAL THURSDAY MORNING: With a clear sky and light wind, we project a low in the mid 30s with a good chance of frost over the northern half of Alabama. Traditionally colder spots will hit the freezing mark. Growers beware. Then, during the day Thursday we warm to near 70 with a good supply of sunshine.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Clouds return late Thursday night, and Friday will be a cloudy day with a chance of showers, and possibly a thunderstorm as a cold front drops in from the north. The front will stall out over South Alabama, and Saturday for now looks wet at times and pretty cold for April with temperatures in the 50s all day. Global models actually suggest parts of Tennessee, North Carolina, and maybe even Northeast Georgia will have a chance of sleet and snow Saturday in colder air.

Then Sunday, the front lifts northward as a warm front; the day will be warmer with a high close to 70, and showers remain possible.

NEXT WEEK: Monday will be a mild day with a chance of showers and storms, followed by cooler, drier air for the mid-week period… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

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I have a weather program this morning at the Alabaster Public Library… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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