Humid With A Mix Of Sun and Storms

| May 16, 2018 @ 6:11 am

MUGGY MAY DAYS: A broad disturbance in the Northeast Gulf of Mexico will keep a humid, tropical airmass over Alabama today and tomorrow; we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds both days with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Most of the showers will come from about 2:00 until 11:00 p.m., but in this kind of airmass we can’t rule out the chance of a late night or morning shower (we have a few on radar this morning). Highs will be mostly in the mid 80s; the average high for Birmingham on May 16 is 82.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY: Models have trended toward lower precipitable water values (drier) on these two days. Still, there will be sufficient moisture for a few showers and storms during the afternoon and evening hours, but it now looks like they will be fairly widely scattered. Otherwise, partly sunny both days with a high in the 87 to 90 degree range.

SUNDAY/MONDAY: Moisture levels tick up again, and once again we will forecast scattered showers and thunderstorms on these two days, generally between 1 and 10 p.m. Afternoon highs will be mostly in the mid to upper 80s.

BIG EVENTS: Many outdoor events are coming up across Alabama through the weekend, including high school graduations, the Regions Tradition at Greystone, the Hangout Music Festival at Gulf Shores, and Do Dah Day in Birmingham. These points apply to all of these events and all venues in Alabama…

*This is not a situation where rain will go on for hours, instead showers and thunderstorms will be somewhat scattered.

*Showers and storms will be rather random, meaning there is no way of knowing exactly when and where they will pop up in advance, and we can’t give specific start/stop times for any one given location.

*Rain distribution will be very uneven; some places on any given day could see well over one inch of rain, other spots will see nothing (much like yesterday).

*Most of the showers will come during the peak of the daytime heating process, between 1:00 and 11:00 p.m. But, we can’t rule out a late night or morning shower.

*Organized severe storms are not expected, but heavier thunderstorms will produce very heavy rain, and will also have potential for small hail.

*When thunder roars, GO INDOORS. When you hear thunder, get into a car, truck, house, church, etc. Don’t risk it.

We lapsing in a summer pattern, when “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” are mentioned almost daily. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TUESDAY FLOODING: One cluster of back building storms in the western part of the Birmingham metro dropped over 4 inches of rain (based on radar estimates) around Fairfield and Midfield. Roads were closed due to flooding there. Other rain reports yesterday from our Skywatchers…

Arley 2.17″
Bessemer 1.26″
Locust Fork 1.12″
Cottondale 0.88″
Concord 0.55″

REGIONS TRADITION: The Regions Tradition is underway, and continues through Sunday at the beautiful Greystone Golf and Country Club! Make plans to attend one of the majors of the PGA Champions Tour! You can see legendary golfers Bernhard Langer, John Daly, Vijay Singh, and more tee it off with Nick Saban, Gus Malzahn, Bo Jackson, and other celebrities in the NCR Pro-AM. Juniors 18 & under are admitted free with a ticketed adult, and five-day grounds tickets are $80. Single day grounds tickets are $20. GET YOUR TICKETS HERE!!!

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: The 2018 SEC Baseball Tournament takes place on May 22-27 at the Hoover Met. Don’t miss some of the best baseball in the country as the top-12 teams will battle it out in Hoover on the road to Omaha. Join us for the indoor FanFest which is free to the public, open each day of the tournament and fun for all ages. Single-session tickets are $18 each for adults and $9 each for kids 3-12. Bleacher seats are first-come, first-served in the General Admission sections. GET YOUR TICKETS HERE!!!

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Elvin Hill Elementary in Columbiana… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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