Scattered Showers/Storms Becoming More Numerous

| July 12, 2018 @ 5:51 am

MOISTURE LEVELS RISING: Models continue to show an increase in precipitable water values across Alabama in coming days, and accordingly we expect to see an increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms through the weekend. Most of the showers will come from 1:00 until 11:00 p.m. daily, but in this kind of airmass we can’t totally rule out a late night or morning shower in spots. The chance of any one spot getting wet later today is in the 40/50 percent range, then rising to 60/70 percent tomorrow, Saturday, and Sunday.

This doesn’t mean “wash out” conditions… the storms will still be rather random and scattered as you might expect on summer days. But, there is a pretty good chance you will have to dodge a shower or storm from time to time. And, storms on summer afternoons in Alabama can pack a punch with potential for heavy rain, gusty winds, and lots of lightning. Remember, when thunder roars, get indoors!

The high today for most communities will be in the low 90s, then in the 88-91 degree range tomorrow through Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Not much change Monday and Tuesday; a mix of sun and clouds both days with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Highs between 88 and 91. The GFS model continues the idea of drier air entering the northern half of Alabama Wednesday, with most of the showers and storms shifting down into the southern counties of the stat for the latter half of the week. This doesn’t happen very often in July, so we will believe it when we see it. But, we will indicate fewer showers and storms in the forecast for Wednesday through Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Chris becomes post-tropical today in the colder water of the North Atlantic… and we are still watching the “ghost of Beryl” just northeast of the Bahamas. NHC still gives the system a 50/50 chance of regeneration… if by chance anything forms there it will follow Chris and move northeast, away from the U.S. The deep tropics are very quiet, and there are no tropical systems threatening the Gulf of Mexico anytime soon.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!


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James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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