SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 130…
SUMMARY…Local risk for severe storms continues in/near WW 190.
DISCUSSION…Latest radar loop shows a still-loosely organized band of storms moving across the southeastern Mississippi/southwestern Alabama border, while other/more cellular storms increase in coverage in a “warm-advection wing” extending east-southeast across southwest Alabama and western portions of the Florida Panhandle. With a moist/unstable airmass residing in/near the WW area, expect storms to continue spreading across the WW area. Slight backing of the surface wind field persists near the Gulf Coast, which continues to modestly enhance low-level shear. This suggests relatively greater — but still limited — risk for a brief tornado over southern portions of the watch area. Otherwise, moderate/roughly unidirectional west-southwesterly flow across much of the area supports locally damaging winds as the main severe risk — especially with the linear band of storms.
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