Severe Storms Possible Tomorrow Night

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

RADAR CHECK: Rain has been increasing across Alabama again over past few hours as a nearly stalled stationary front continues to be draped across the central part of the state. Back in the colder air north of the front, temperatures are only in the upper 40s in places like Cullman and Haleyville, but to the south low 80s are reported at Montgomery. We will forecast periods of rain tonight; amounts should be generally under 1/2 inch over the next 12 hours.

SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TOMORROW NIGHT: Tomorrow will be a mostly cloudy, mild, and breezy day across Alabama. A few showers are possible, and temperatures will rise into the mid 70s by afternoon. Some low 80s are possible over the southern half of the state again.

Then, as a cold front works into the state tomorrow night, we will have potential for strong to severe thunderstorms. SPC has defined a “slight risk” (level 2/5) of severe storms as far east as Anniston, Prattville, and Jackson… a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) is up for other parts of East and South Alabama.

TIMING: The window for the heavier storms begins around 9:00 p.m. across West Alabama, and around midnight for Birmingham. Much of the action will come during the pre-dawn hours Thursday.

THREATS: Heavier storms will be capable of producing hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two.

RAIN: Rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are forecast tomorrow night into Thursday morning, which could be enough for some flooding issues considering the saturated soil conditions.

Now model data continues to show rather limited surface based instability which could limit the overall threat, but remember it doesn’t take much to get severe storms going in the cold season.

Rain will end Thursday morning; the clearing should begin late in the day or Thursday night. Thursday’s high will be in the 55-60 degree range.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Friday will be cold and dry. We start the day in the 20s, followed by a high in the mid to upper 40s. Saturday will be another dry day with a cold morning; temperatures should easily reach the 20s early in the day. Then, we rise into the mid 50s Saturday afternoon as a warming trend begins. Clouds increase Saturday night, and some light rain is possible after midnight into the daytime hours Sunday. Otherwise, Sunday will be mostly cloudy with a high in the low 60s.

NEXT WEEK: The week looks fairly mild and unsettled; it won’t rain every day during the week, but we will deal with rounds of showers from time to time as the active southern branch of the jet stream remains parked across the Deep South. Highs will be in the 60s on most days…

STORM TOTALS: Here are some updated storm totals from the ABC 33/40 team of Skywatchers…

Coker 5.73″
Bibbville 5.40″
Cottondale 5.22″
Hoover/Brocks Gap 4.43″
Hueytown 4.19″
Rock Creek 3.75″
Heflin 3.28″
Weaver 3.01″
Moody 2.82″
Black Creek 2.75″

ON THIS DATE IN 1983: Called the “Megalopolitan blockbuster snowstorm,” this major snowstorm impacted the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England. Snowfall up to 25 inches fell at Allentown, Pennsylvania. Snowfall amount of 35 inches occurred in parts of the Blue Ridge Mountains of West Virginia at Glen Cary. Windsor Locks, Connecticut recorded a record 19 inches in 12 hours. A ship sunk off the Virginia/Maryland coast killing 33. There were 46 total storm-related fatalities.

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I had a great time today visiting with students at Spring Garden School in Cherokee County, and Kitty Stone Elementary in Jacksonville… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS