Showers Remain Isolated; Most Communities Stay Dry

| August 5, 2020 @ 3:04 pm

RADAR CHECK: We do have a few isolated showers across the eastern half of Alabama this afternoon, they are small and moving quickly to the northeast. Otherwise, most communities are dry with a partly to mostly sunny sky; temperatures are mostly in the 87-92 degree range at mid-afternoon. The small showers will fade away tonight after sunset as the air cools and becomes more stable.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: No major changes; a very quiet weather pattern will persist. Look for partly to mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only isolated afternoon showers. Odds of any one particular spot getting wet tomorrow is 15/20 percent, and then 5/10 percent for Friday and the weekend. Afternoon highs will be in the low 90s tomorrow and Friday; some places could reach the mid 90s over the weekend as the heat begins to build.

NEXT WEEK: Moisture levels will rise, and we will bring back the usual threat of random, scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms each day. Otherwise, partly sunny days, fair nights, and highs mostly in the low 90s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: The small disturbance southwest of Bermuda is not expected to develop due to dry and harsh upper air winds, and the rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet. We should note the new 2020 hurricane season outlook was updated today by the team at Colorado State University:

The Atlantic has already had 9 named storms and 2 hurricanes through August 4. They estimate that 2020 will have an additional 10 hurricanes, 15 named storms (average is 10.2), 76.25 named storm days (average is 53.2), 42 hurricane days (average is 22.9), 5 major (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 2.6) and 11 major hurricane days (average is 5.9). The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be about 140 percent of the long-period full-season average.

The tropical Atlantic is much warmer than normal, and vertical wind shear across the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean has been much weaker than normal. Warmer than normal water across the tropical Atlantic provides more fuel for tropical cyclones and also is associated with lower than normal pressure (as was observed in July) and increased instability – all of which favor more hurricane activity.

The next storm names are Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, and Wilfred.

ON THIS DATE IN 1980: Allen intensified into a Category 5 hurricane while south of Puerto Rico. This made Allen the earliest Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic on record, but was later surpassed by Hurricane Emily which reached that intensity on July 16, 2005. it was the fifth most intense Atlantic Hurricane on record in terms of barometric pressure, behind Hurricane Rita, the 1935 Labor Day hurricane, Hurricane Gilbert, and Hurricane Wilma. It was one of the few hurricanes to reach Category 5 status on the Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Scale on three separate occasions, and spent more time as a Category 5 than all but two other Atlantic hurricanes.

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Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Weather Xtreme Videos

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James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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