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Blistering Summer Heat Through Saturday; Heat Levels Drop Next Week

| June 29, 2023 @ 5:37 am

BLOW TORCH HEAT: Summer heat will be the big weather story for Alabama and the Deep South through the weekend… easily the hottest weather so far this year. Expect a high in the 95-100 degree range today and tomorrow, followed by mid 90s over the weekend. Factor in the high humidity, and the heat index will peak at 105-110 over the western 2/3 of the state through tomorrow, where an “excessive heat warning” is in effect. There is a “heat advisory” for East Alabama, where the heat index will rise into the 100-105 degree range.

Most locations will be dry through tomorrow with lots of hazy sunshine, but SPC has defined a “marginal risk” of severe thunderstorms for parts of North Alabama due to the potential for storms dropping down into the state from Tennessee from time to time. Usually the strong upper ridge will suppress any storms, but we will keep an eye on radar trends.

FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND: The ridge slowly weakens, but the weather remains hot Saturday and Sunday with highs in the 94-98 degree range. The heat backs down Monday and Tuesday with a high close to 90 degrees. Each day we will mention the chance of a few random, scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms… odds of any one spot getting wet each day are around 30 percent. Most of the storms will come from 2:00 until 9:00 p.m.

REST OF THE WEEK: Showers and storms will increase in coverage over the latter half of the week as moisture levels rise and the air becomes more unstable; highs drop into the upper 80s, which is below average for early July in Alabama. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: A surface trough is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda. Upper-level winds are marginally conducive for some slow development of this system during the next few days while it moves generally northward at 5 to 10 mph. NHC gives it only a 20 percent chance of development.

The rest of the Atlantic basin, including the Gulf of Mexico, is very quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected through early next week.

ON THIS DATE IN 1998: “The Corn Belt Derecho of 1998” in the following states: NE, IA, IL, IN, KY. A derecho which originated in far southeast South Dakota moved across Illinois during the afternoon and evening and continued as far east as Ohio the next morning. Every county in central Illinois sustained some damage, as these severe thunderstorms passed. Winds gusted in the 60 to 80 mph range, with some localized microbursts producing winds more than 100 mph. Significant damage occurred in the microburst areas, including the towns of Morton, McLean, LeRoy, and Tolono.

Look for the next video update here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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