Midday Nowcast: Clearing Sky Today; Storms Return Late Tomorrow Night, Then Much Colder Weekend

The rain is out of here and the sky is clearing this afternoon across Alabama. It is a cooler day with afternoon temperatures ranging from the upper 50s to upper 60s. Tonight will be mostly clear and cold with lows in the 30s and 40s. Tomorrow will be a dry day with a mix of sun and clouds, expect highs in the upper 60s to low 70s.

BIRMINGHAM ALMANAC: For November 26th, the average high for Birmingham is 62° and the average low is 41°. The record high is 80° set in 1973, while the record low is 23° set in 1950. We average 0.15” of precipitation on this date, and the record value is 2.23” set in 2013.

RAIN AND STORMS RETURN: A strong cold front will bring more rain to the state, and the chance of a few strong thunderstorms tomorrow night and early Thanksgiving morning. For tomorrow, the SPC has introduced a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) of severe thunderstorms for much of North/Central Alabama. This is for late tomorrow night, after midnight and during the predawn hours of Thursday.

Then for Thanksgiving the SPC has a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) of severe thunderstorms for the southern 2/3 of the state.

There will not be much instability available over North Alabama, which will keep the threat of severe storms low. For the southern counties, the air will be somewhat unstable, but wind fields are not especially strong. Some of the heavier storms could produce strong wind gusts and small hail. The chance of a brief, isolated tornado is low, but not zero. Best chance of rain will come from about midnight tomorrow night through noon Thursday, and amounts of around 1/2 inch are likely.

BLACK FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Much colder air invades the Deep South to end the week. The weather will be dry with sunny days and fair nights, but temperatures won’t get out of the 40s over the northern half of the state. A freeze is likely pretty much statewide by Saturday morning with many places in the 20s.

IRON BOWL: The weather will be cold and dry Saturday in Tuscaloosa for this year’s Iron Bowl (Auburn at Alabama, 2:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be sunny, and temperatures will drop from near 48° at kickoff to near 40° by the final whistle.

COLD START TO DECEMBER: A secondary surge of cold air arrives late in the weekend, and for Monday and Tuesday most places will see highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s all the way down to the Gulf Coast. Colder spots across North Alabama are likely to reach the upper teens early Monday morning. Highs rise a bit, into the 50s over the latter half of the week with lows in the 30s. The air will be dry and there is no risk of any precipitation through the week.

IN THE TROPICS: The Atlantic Basin is quiet, with no tropical development expected and we are likely done with tropical systems this year. Hurricane season ends this Sunday, November 30th.

WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation outside the U.S. was 109.2F at Twee Riviere, South Africa. The lowest observation was -61.4F at Dome A, Antarctica.

CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 92F at La Puerta, TX. The lowest observation was -9F at Northgate, ND.

Tags: ANC, clearing, colder, featured

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Social Media