Clouds Moving In and Out

| October 23, 2011 @ 7:38 am | 1 Reply

The latest edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme Video is available in the player below. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme Video on iTunes by clicking here.

Thanks to a large MCS – mess-scale convective system – that developed over eastern Oklahoma last night, I expect to see a cloudy afternoon. The bulk of the rain with the MCS has moved into Southeast Texas with some diminishing rain across the Mid-South in the vicinity of Memphis. Watch the video for an explanation of why I do not think we’ll see any significant rain this afternoon – and that has primarily to do with the dry atmosphere in place over Central Alabama. With the clouds, of course, a few sprinkles are always possible. Clouds will inhibit the warming a bit but we should still climb into the lower 70s.

Once the associated upper trough moves through this evening and early Monday, we should be back on track to see a nice warming trend. In fact, I think the frosty mornings are over for now. The weather stays warm and dry through Thursday when another trough comes out of the Four Corners area and brings a front into the Southeast. I expect the primary rain threat to come from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning. We might see a few isolated thunderstorms as part of the system. There is still a concern as to whether or not we might see some strong to severe thunderstorms. Model differences are causing some confidence issues, so stay tuned as the system becomes clearer with additional model runs.

Friday afternoon the trough blasts by, so we should see improving weather by Friday afternoon. The weekend looks dry and cool, though it does not appear to be as cold as the system we just experienced.

Voodoo country shows a great Halloween for James Spann to don his iPod costume and go trick or treating! After that we see a continued progression of weather systems but the overall look to early November appears to be warm.

Tropics are somewhat active with two systems to watch. One to the east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles is not expected to develop soon. The other system in the western Caribbean has a better chance for becoming a tropical storm in the next 48 hours. Main problem for that system right now is its proximity to land. Forecast models are all over the board on the future track though there is some consensus that it will move northwestward. We’ll need to keep an eye on this, however, the most likely course for it is into the southern Gulf and then northeastward across the Florida peninsula.

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And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Jason Simpson Ashley Brand
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Thanks for staying tuned. I will have the latest weather forecast on ABC 3340 at 5 and 10 pm this evening, so be sure to tune in. I hope your day is a good one. James Spann will be back with the next Weather Xtreme Video first thing Monday morning. Godspeed.

-Brian-

For your meteorological consulting needs, Coleman and Peters, LLC, can provide you with accurate, detailed information on past storms, lightning, flooding, and wind damage. Whether it is an insurance claim needing validation or a court case where weather was a factor, we can furnish you with information you need. Please call us at (205) 568-4401.

Category: Alabama's Weather

About the Author ()

Brian Peters is one of the television meteorologists at ABC3340 in Birmingham and a retired NWS Warning Coordination Meteorologist. He handles the weekend Weather Xtreme Videos and forecast discussion and is the Webmaster for the popular WeatherBrains podcast.

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