Dry Weather Next Few Days

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The major theme in our weather pattern for the next several days will be dry weather. For today and Monday and Tuesday, the days will start out chilly with lows dipping into the 30s, however, the afternoon highs should reach the upper 50s today and into the 60s Monday and Tuesday. These values are pretty close to what we expect to see in early March. Watch the video to see a trace of the temperature history from yesterday.

The culprit for the chilly air is a fairly descent trough over the eastern US. That trough will gradually be replaced by an upper ridge on Tuesday which once again throws us into a southwesterly flow aloft allowing temperatures to warm nicely toward 70 by Thursday. To our west, a trough deepens on the West Coast and we see a closed low over the four corners area by Thursday. To this point the various models are in pretty close agreement on us having dry weather. The close low lover New Mexico will bring moisture into the Central Plains producing what may be an extended period of wet weather for them. But at this point, the models diverge on the solution for us.

According to the GFS, the trough coming across Canada will not have enough southward influence to bring the cold front into our region. But the European suggests that the Canadian trough will have a great impact further south bringing rain and possibly thunderstorms to the Southeast US. But while the European is more bullish on that trough, it takes a much slower movement of the closed low over the four corners area. So we’re verging on model madness, one showing us wet and the other showing us dry. At this time, I think the European probably is doing a better job on the Canadian trough which would bring the front into the Tennessee River Valley, but I think the GFS is probably handling the closed low better. So for now, I’ve got rain for Friday and likely into next weekend.

Looking into voodoo country, there still remains no sign of any significant cold weather but the patter remains pretty progressive with another Southwest US closed low around March 17th. And this pattern will certainly maintain warm weather for the Southeast US. Perhaps 2012 will be the year without a winter?

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Thanks for staying tuned to the Weather Xtreme Video and the Blog. James Spann will be up first thing Monday morning with the next edition of the Video. Don’t forget that Daylight Savings Time returns next Sunday when we “spring forward” on out timepieces! Have a wonderful day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Category: Alabama's Weather