Warm, Humid Weather Continues

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MUGGY DAYS: The Alabama weather situation won’t change much today and tomorrow… the weather will feel more like June with highs in the low to mid 80s along with high humidity levels. The sun will be out at times, and we might see a “pop-up” afternoon shower or storm in a few spots, but they should be pretty isolated.

All of the serious weather actions remains west of Alabama; SPC maintains a “moderate risk” of severe weather later today and tonight from near Childress, Texas to Wichita, Kansas. Some of the cities in the moderate risk include Oklahoma City and Tulsa, and a few significant tornadoes are possible in this region. The highest tornado probabilities are near Wichita Falls and Childress, Texas. A “slight risk” of severe storms extends from the Texas Hill Country to Chicago.

SEVERE STORMS MOVE EASTWARD: Tomorrow, SPC has defined a “slight risk” of severe weather from near Houston to Detroit, and that Day 2 slight risk extends into Northwest Alabama. Keep in mind the Day 2 risk time frame extends through 7:00 a.m. CT Friday, and these storms should enter the northwest counties of our state after midnight tomorrow night.

The higher severe weather probabilities tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night cover places like Shreveport, Jackson, Little Rock, and Memphis. A few tornadoes are possible in this zone.

HERE IN ALABAMA: The line of severe storms should enter Northwest Alabama around 2:00 a.m. Friday. Thankfully, instability values are marginal, but wind fields are pretty strong, and there is a decent amount of bulk shear in the lower 5,000 feet as well. The primary risk along the line will come from strong straight line winds, but an isolated tornado can’t be ruled out.

The storms should weaken as they move east, and we believe the greatest risk of severe weather along the storm line will be north and west of a line from Tuscaloosa to Smith Lake to Huntsville from 2:00 a.m. until 5:00 a.m. Friday.

The weakening band of storms should reach the Birmingham metro around 5:00-6:00 a.m… and then over into the Anniston/Gadsden area by 7:00-8:00 a.m. The risk of severe weather along the squall line is quite low to the south and east of Birmingham as the storms continue to weaken.

The rain will end across the state from west to east early Friday morning, and all of the rain should be out of the state by mid-morning. Friday will be cooler with a high in the 67-70 degree range.

DELIGHTFUL WEEKEND: Doesn’t get much better. Sunny mild days, clear cool nights, and low humidity. We will be down in the low 40s early Saturday, and some of the colder pockets across North Alabama could visit the upper 30s. The high Saturday will be around 70, with low to mid 70s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: The 00Z GFS hints our next chance of organized showers and storms will come around Wednesday of next week; see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

WEATHER RADIO HELP: We will be at the Publix in Pell City tomorrow from 3:30 until 6:30 p.m…. if you need your weather program programmed, or have questions, some see us.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have weather programs today at Kitty Stone Elementary School in Jacksonville, and Snow Rogers Elementary in North Jefferson County. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Tags: warm

Category: Alabama's Weather