Mostly Dry Tomorrow

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RADAR CHECK: A pretty good part of North and Central Alabama is rain-free this afternoon, although strong storms were in progress between Moulton and Russellville, and east of Opelika. The sky is generally cloudy, and temperatures are in the 80s.

A surface front is north of here, around I-40 in Tennessee, and storms are in progress around Nashville. No doubt we will need to maintain the risk of a few scattered showers and storms through about midnight tonight… the front is taking longer than expected to get down here. But, remember, the air was really worked over by last night’s MCS (mesoscale convective system), so the storms won’t be as strong as last night, and we don’t expect the flooding issues we had with the heavier storms.

The chance of any one spot getting wet this evening is about one in five, and the sky will become clear late tonight as the lower dewpoints advect in here.

TOMORROW: Looks rain-free for much of Alabama. I think we can just about leave out any significant risk of a shower; they should be very hard to fine on radar with the drier air. The high tomorrow will be around 90 with a good supply of sunshine, but the humidity levels should be lower.

OUR WEEKEND: The high res NAM hints a few storms could fire up Saturday afternoon as moisture begins to return, but they still should be pretty widely scattered. Then, on Sunday, very typical summer weather for Alabama. Partly sunny, a passing afternoon shower or storm in a few scattered spots. Highs over the weekend should be in the 87-90 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: The 12Z GFS builds a 5970 meter 500 mb upper high over Ohio and West Virginia, with higher heights down into the Southeast U.S. If this is the case, it would mean afternoon highs at of just over 90 degrees on most days next week, with afternoon showers and storms being rather widely spaced. Very routine weather for mid-July.

TROPICS: There is a chance “Chantal” will come back to life later this week as a tropical depression or storm; if that happens it is headed for the coasts of either Georgia and South Carolina, and the main threat could come from heavy rain. Alabama, most likely, would stay on the dry side of the circulation. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Don’t see anything really out of the ordinary through next week. About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily with the opportunity of scattered showers and storms on a daily basis. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the coast, with low 90s inland. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 82 degrees.

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Tags: drier

Category: Alabama's Weather