The latest official track from the National Hurricane Center currently has Nate heading on a mostly north-northwesterly track that will take it across the tip of the Yucatan Peninsula on Friday night before emerging into the Gulf of Mexico and strengthening to a hurricane by Saturday morning.
Tropical Depression 16 is expected to become Tropical Storm Nate during the next 18 hours, and possibly reach hurricane strength by the time it reaches the Gulf Coast Sunday. Here are some important points… *This is a new system, and until we get better data from hurricane hunters and research aircraft in the area confidence […]
As noted here, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has begun advisories on Tropical Depression 16 which became better organized over the Southwest Caribbean this morning. Here is the latest satellite image of the system. The overall evolution of this system brings it to tropical storm strength within the next 12 hours. It is likely to […]
A look at how important data is when forecasting hurricanes/tropical storms with a focus on one paragraph of the NHC discussion on Maria.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Irma is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Monday evening. The low is likely to dissipate by Tuesday evening.
The eye of Irma has completely moved onshore and is approaching the Naples area at this point. Latest recon reports the wind field is far diminishing, and more than likely the next update from the National Hurricane Center will show that trend.
The eye of Irma is about to come onshore on the Florida Peninsula at Marco Island. At the moment, they are experiencing the fiercest winds from the outer part of the eyewall, with radar-estimated winds over 100-110 MPH.
Hurricane Irma is pounding South Florida at this hour. The eye is about to make its second U.S. landfall between Marco Island and Tampa. Winds are down to 120 mph making it a cat two storm.
Hurricane Irma made landfall in the Lower Florida Keys near Cudjoe Key at 9:10 a.m. EDT with top winds of 130 mph and a central pressure of 929 millibars.
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Irma has made the “north turn”, and is moving over the Florida Keys this morning. On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should move near or over the southwestern coast of the Florida Peninsula later today through tonight. Irma should then move inland Monday afternoon.
The eyewall of Category Four Hurricane Irma is coming on shore imminently from Key West eastward to the Seven Mile Bridge. Landfall should occur around 7:30 a.m. CDT.
Hurricane Irma continues to strengthen and will be one of the worst hurricanes ever to strike the Florida Keys. Winds may be 140 mph and the central pressure could be around 922 mb at landfall around 8 a.m. CDT
