An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here. THIS AFTERNOON: Temperatures are generally in the 35 to 42 degree range across North Alabama this afternoon, with light […]
Let’s see if we can answer all of the questions… *Is there a good chance of snow tonight? Yes, mainly if you are north of I-20. South of I-20 we might see a few snow flakes, but probably not many. *When will the snow fall? Best chance is from about 9:00 tonight through 9:00 tomorrow […]
The cold core upper low is over Central Mississippi this hour… Temps at 500 mb (about 18,000 feet off the ground) are down to -27 degrees (C), or -16.6 degrees (F) at the center of the upper low… dynamic cooling will bring some of that downward in coming hours. Getting a handful of reports of […]
The new 12Z guidance matches our ongoing forecast nicely, so no need for any midday changes… below is the 12Z NAM snow accumulation projection… And, our forecast is below… Important points… *Best chance of snow is from about 9:00 p.m. tonight through 9:00 a.m. tomorrow *No travel issues are expected for Birmingham/Tuscaloosa/Anniston/Gadsden *The ground is […]
ANSWER: You bet your boots we can! …or You can bet your bottom dollar we can! Let’s look back at one of the most dramatic examples. The date was November 24, 1950. A day or so earlier, thousands of football fans were in their short-sleeved shirts at Legion Field watching the annual Crippled Children’s Championship […]
Here is the output of the 12Z RPM… confirms the idea the best chance of accumulating snow will be over Northwest Alabama, and adjacent parts of NE Mississippi and southern middle Tennessee… And, below is our ongoing snow accumulation forecast. Scroll down for the long discussion, and watch the Weather Xtreme video for details.
An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here. This is one of those mornings when it makes good sense to watch the Weather Xtreme video… often the […]
The watch matches the RPM show output nicely… WWUS44 KMEG 280936 WSWMEG URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 336 AM CST MON NOV 28 2011 …EARLY SEASON WINTER STORM BECOMING MORE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH… .A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. […]
Above is a loop of 500 mb heights (lines) and vorticity (colors) over the next 36 hours. You can see the upper low cutting off from the main flow, or forming a full circle, to our west tonight. Satellite imagery indicates this may already be happening. At the same time, much colder air is moving […]
Here is the current thinking on snow accumulation potential for Monday night through Tuesday morning. Seems like the best combination of dynamic cooling and convective snow will be a little east of Memphis, and northwest of Muscle Shoals. Note are suggesting potential of 1 to 4 inches there, but even in that spot most of […]
1.61 inches of rain at the Birmingham Airport through 4:07 this afternoon. It has been a slow soaking rain for many folks across North and Central Alabama, and it is going to continue for several more hours. Some of the heaviest rain is now over Coosa and Elmore Counties in East Alabama. It will lift […]
This is the 15Z run of the RPM… showing expected snow accumulation for the next 72 hours…. Not much change from earlier runs. And, this is the HPC probability of more than one inch of snow from 6pm CST Monday through 6pm CST Tuesday… Please note… *Any accumulation over North Alabama should be mainly over […]
Wow, what a complicated forecast! Two things are pretty sure…it will be damp and occasionally precipitate from now through Tuesday morning…and it is about to get very cold. It was in the 70s yesterday afternoon…same time tomorrow it will be in the 40s. The big question is whether snow will fall. With an upper-level low […]
The latest edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme Video is available in the player below. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme Video on iTunes by clicking here. What an interesting forecast challenge we have ahead of us. For the moment, rain covers nearly all of Alabama from south to north with rainfall amounts […]
Our long time friend, mentor, and charter Weather Factory member, J.B. Elliott, passed away on May 11, 2015. Click HERE to read James' tribute.
