Showers/Storms At Times Through Tomorrow

| November 30, 2018 @ 3:34 pm

UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES: Radar showers large areas of rain across the northern half of Alabama this afternoon as moisture levels continue to rise. The sky is cloudy and temperatures are generally in the 60s. Down in South Alabama, the sun is shining in many places, and Mobile is up to 74 degrees at mid-afternoon.

To the west, strong to severe storms are expected to increase across the ArkLaTex region in coming hours; SPC maintains an “enhanced risk” (level 3/5) for this region tonight. Those storms will enter West Alabama after midnight, but they should be weakening as they move into our state, and at this point we expect the storms to be under severe limits.

STORMY SATURDAY: Rain and storms are likely over North/Central Alabama tomorrow morning, but the activity will taper off by late morning. Again, the morning storms are expected to remain below severe limits.

The severe thunderstorm risk during the afternoon is very conditional. Instability values will rise during the afternoon, but the main dynamic support will be lifting out to the northeast. Still, additional thunderstorms could form along a dry line moving into the state from the west, and if they form, they could be strong to severe with potential for gusty winds and some hail. There is also a low end tornado threat.

SPC maintains the standard “slight risk” (level 2/5) of severe storms for areas south of Birmingham tomorrow, and there is a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) from Birmingham north.

The window for severe storm development is from roughly 12 noon until 6:00 p.m.. but it is important to note that many of the good, high resolution, convection allowing models show no development, and there is a real chance no storms form during the afternoon over the northern half of the state. But, if they do fire up along the dry line they could pack a punch and we will be watching them closely.

Tomorrow will be a mild day with a high around 70 degrees. Most of the state will be rain-free tomorrow night.

SUNDAY: Morning clouds will give way to a partly sunny afternoon, and the day will be very mild for early December with a high in the low 70s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Tomorrow’s SEC title game between Alabama and Georgia (3:00p CT kickoff) will be played in Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta (in the dome); for those walking to the game showers and thunderstorms are likely in Atlanta with temperatures in the 60s. The rain will end Saturday evening.

UAB will take on Middle Tennessee State in the C-USA Championship game in Murfreesboro, Tennessee tomorrow (12:30p CT kickoff)… the good news is that it now looks like most of the rain will be over by kickoff; just an outside risk of a lingering shower or storm during game. Otherwise a mostly cloudy afternoon with temperatures in the 60s.

Jacksonville State travels to Orono Maine to take on the Maine Black Bears tomorrow (11a CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly sunny with 29 degrees at kickoff, rising into the mid 30s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Some rain is possible Monday morning over the southern half of the state, otherwise the day will be mostly cloudy with a high in the 60s. Then, much colder air arrives for the latter half of the week with highs in the 40s on most days, with sub-freezing lows. Next chance of rain will come around Saturday December 8… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

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I had a great time today visiting with the 6th graders at Sumiton Middle School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here Monday morning by 7:00 a.m… enjoy the weekend!

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James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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