Some Rain Tomorrow; Strong Storms Early Next Week

ANOTHER CHILLY MORNING: Here are some of the colder temperatures across Alabama at daybreak today…

Black Creek 34
Fort Payne 36
Cullman 37
Scottsboro 37
Meridianville 37
Gadsden (Noccalula Falls) 38
Haleyville 39
Weaver 40

Today will be mostly sunny over the northern half of the state with a high in the low 70s. But, to the south, clouds will thicken over South Alabama with rain moving in from the south by mid to late afternoon as a tropical system approaches the Gulf Coast.

PTC 16: “Potential Tropical Cyclone 16” is expected to become Tropical Storm Nestor later today; the center is forecast to move into the Florida Panhandle after midnight tonight.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Mississippi/Alabama border to Yankeetown Florida
* Grand Isle Louisiana to the Mouth of the Pearl River

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Indian Pass Florida to Clearwater Beach Florida

Top winds are now 40 mph; tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles to the north and east of the possible center. There is a danger of storm surge inundation of up to 5 feet above ground level beginning today along the Florida Gulf Coast from Indian Pass to Clearwater, where a Storm Surge Warning is in effect. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local officials.

A few short lived, isolated tornadoes or waterspouts are possible on the Florida Gulf Coast from near Panama City Beach down to Tampa Bay and Fort Myers tonight and tomorrow morning.

ALABAMA IMPACT TOMORROW: The heaviest rain will fall over Southeast Alabama, where places like Dothan and Geneva could see 1-2 inches tonight and tomorrow morning. Otherwise, mostly light rain is possible over the state tomorrow, mainly over the eastern counties. Some rain is possible over the western side of the state as well, but it will be light and spotty there. Otherwise, the day tomorrow will be cloudy with a high between 65 and 70 degrees.

Sunday will be a dry, pleasant day with a partly sunny sky and a high in the upper 70s.

STRONG STORMS LATE MONDAY: A cold front will bring a band of showers and thunderstorms in Alabama late Monday and Monday night; those storms could be strong to severe. SPC has parts of North and West Alabama in a severe weather threat on their “Day Four” outlook…

For now it looks like the main threat will come from strong, potentially damaging straight line winds. We will have a much better look at the situation once the tropical system passes east of here tomorrow night. The middle of next week looks dry and pleasant… then another cold front brings the next chance of rain and storms at the end of the week, Thursday night and Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tomnight, dry weather is expected over the northern half of Alabama with temperatures in the 60s. But, to the south, rain is good possibility for the southern quarter of Alabama as the tropical low approaches.

Auburn travels to Fayetteville, Arkansas to take on the Razorbacks tomorrow (11:00a CT kickoff)… showers are possible during the first half of the game. The kickoff temperature will be close to 64 degrees, rising into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

Alabama will host Tennessee tomorrow night at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (8:00p CT kickoff)… the weather will be dry with a clearing sky. Temperatures will be in the mid 60s. A little light rain is possible during the day, before the game.

UAB hosts Old Dominion tomorrow afternoon at Legion Field in Birmingham (3:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly cloudy, and some light rain is possible during the game. Kickoff temperature will be near 70 degrees, falling back into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

Jacksonville State hosts Southeast Missouri State tomorrow (3:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly cloudy; rain is possible. Temperatures will fall from near 70 at kickoff, into the upper 60s by the fourth quarter.

ON THIS DATE IN 2005: Hurricane Wilma developed a tiny, well-defined eye and began intensifying rapidly, reaching Category 5 strength with a record-setting pressure of 882 millibars by October 19. The rapid intensification from a tropical storm to Category 5 hurricane in 24 hours was the fastest ever recorded in the Atlantic Ocean, and the second-fastest worldwide, after Super Typhoon Forrest.

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I have a weather program this morning at Pinson Valley High School… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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