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Showers Today; More Rain Wednesday Night/Thursday

| October 25, 2021 @ 5:48 am

RADAR CHECK: A weakening band of showers is moving into Northwest Alabama early this morning ahead of a cold front. There is no risk of severe thunderstorms in Alabama today as the main dynamic support will be passing well to the north… in fact we probably will have very little thunder. Most of the rain today will come over the northern half of the state during the morning hours, and rain amounts should be mostly under a quarter of an inch. Otherwise, today will be mostly cloudy with a high in the 74-77 degree range. The sky will clear this evening.

Tomorrow promises to be a beautiful autumn day with sunshine in full supply along with a high between 68 and 71 degrees.

MID-WEEK RAIN: Clouds will increase Wednesday ahead of a dynamic weather system that will bring rain and a few thunderstorms to the state late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. New model data shows basically no instability over the northern 2/3 of the state, and the severe weather threat will be limited to the southwest counties of the state. SPC has defined a “slight risk” (level 2/5) for much of Mobile County, and the eastern shore of Baldwin county, with a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) as far north as Butler, Monroeville, and Brewton.

The most widespread rain will likely come from midnight Wednesday night to noon Thursday, but light rain will linger into Thursday night over North Alabama. The high Wednesday will be in the mid 70s, but temperatures will hold in the 60s all day Thursday.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Friday will be a cloudy and very cool day with temperatures not getting out of the 50s across the northern half of Alabama. Some light rain is likely at times over North Alabama through Friday night, especially north of U.S. 278. Any lingering light rain there should end Saturday morning, and we will forecast gradual clearing Saturday afternoon as the deep upper low lifts away from the region. Saturday will stay very cool with a high between 58 and 62 degrees.

Sunday will be a fabulous fall day with sunshine in full supply along with a high in the upper 60s.

NEXT WEEK: For now the week looks dry with pleasant days and fair nights… highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is quiet this morning. A deep, non tropical low will form by mid-week off the upper Atlantic Coast, there is some chance it acquires some tropical characteristics as it moves eastward over the open water of the North Atlantic, but it won’t be a threat to land.

RAIN UPDATE: Here are rain totals for the year so far, and the departure from average…

Mobile 74.31″ (+18.15″)
Birmingham 63.12″ (+16.39″)
Tuscaloosa 61.27″ (+18.18″)
Huntsville 57.41″ (+14.05″)
Dothan 54.98″ (+10.41″)
Muscle Shoals 54.95″ (+11.14″)
Montgomery 49.18″ (+7.50″)
Anniston 41.45″ (=0.71″)

ON THIS DATE IN 1921: A devastating category 3 hurricane struck near Tarpon Springs, Florida. The storm caused 8 fatalities and is the latest in the calendar year a category 3 hurricane or stronger made landfall in the US.

ON THIS DATE IN 2017: The high temperatures in Denver, Colorado was 84 degrees. By the morning hours on the 27th, the temperature fell to 13 degrees, a 71-degree change.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Weather Xtreme Videos

About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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