Mostly Dry This Afternoon/Tonight; More Rain Over The Weekend

RADAR CHECK: Rain continues this morning across parts of East Alabama near the Georgia line… we also see some scattered light rain over the northwest counties. The rain should be over by midday today, and we project dry weather this afternoon and tonight with some clearing possible. The high today will be in the mid 60s over North Alabama, with low 70s for the southern third of the state.

THE WEEKEND: Dry weather continues tomorrow morning, but a few scattered showers could pop up over West Alabama tomorrow afternoon. The most widespread rain over the weekend will come tomorrow night, generally between 9:00 p.m. and 5:00 a.m. Sunday. SPC maintains a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) of severe thunderstorms for the southwest part of Alabama, including places like Mobile, Evergreen, Monroeville, Fairhope, and Jackson…

While this isn’t a major threat, storms across Southwest Alabama tomorrow night may produce locally damaging gusts and a tornado or two. For the rest of the state, there is no risk of severe storms, and probably not much thunder. Rain amounts tomorrow night will be around one inch.

Then, on Sunday, the sky becomes partly sunny as dry air returns. Highs will be generally in the mid to upper 60s over the weekend.

NEXT WEEK: Dry weather continues Monday and Tuesday with highs in the mid to upper 60s. Then, a dynamic weather system will move into the state Wednesday with a risk of strong thunderstorms, possibly severe. Still too early to know the magnitude of the threat; we will keep an eye on parameters over the weekend. We note SPC does define a risk of severe storms just west of Alabama for Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night. Dry air returns Thursday and Friday… See the daily Weather Briefing video for maps, graphics, and more details.

HIGH SCHOOL PLAYOFF GAMES: The weather will be dry for the high school football games across Alabama tonight. The sky will be mostly fair with temperatures generally in the 50s; some fog is possible.

IRON BOWL: It will be a mild day for the biggest football game of the year in Alabama tomorrow (Auburn at Alabama; 2:30p CT kickoff)… expect a temperature in the upper 60s at kickoff. A passing shower is possible during the game, but the most widespread rain won’t arrive in Tuscaloosa until after the completion of the game. Chance of a passing shower tomorrow afternoon is 25-35 percent. Temperatures fall into the low 60s by the final whistle, and rain becomes widespread across West Alabama by 9:00 tomorrow night.

We should note that tomorrow morning should be dry for the tailgaters.

ON THIS DATE IN 1950: Called the “storm of the century” this storm impacted the eastern part of the US, killing hundreds and causing millions of dollars in damages. New York City recorded a 94 mph wind gust and Bear Mountain, just north of the city recorded a 140 mph gust. Record low temperatures were reported on the southern end of this storm in Tennessee and North Carolina. This storm was unique as Pittsburgh saw 30 inches of snow, while Buffalo saw 50 degrees with 50 mph wind gusts.

The temperature at Birmingham would drop to 5 degrees on November 25, 1950, the coldest November temperature on record. Snow fell over the northern half of the state the day before, on November 24.

ON THIS DATE IN 1986: An EF3 tornado carved out a path of 44 miles through parts of Coffee, Dale and Barbour Counties in Southeast Alabama. The twister developed in the New Brockton area, then moving through Ariton, Elamville, Clio and then Clayton where the tornado dissipated. There were three injuries in New Brockton and one church, three homes and two other buildings were destroyed. Another church and 17 houses were damaged. Near Ariton, an injury occurred in a mobile home.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

We are on a holiday schedule, so just one video today, but I will post fresh forecast notes on the blog this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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