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Dual Threat Of Flooding And Strong/Severe Storms Today

| December 14, 2022 @ 5:50 am

RADAR CHECK: Rain is widespread over North and West Alabama early this morning around sunrise… there are a few embedded thunderstorms, but we don’t expect any severe weather issues this morning. This will be an active day for the state with the dual threat of heavy rain/flooding, and strong to severe thunderstorms.

FLOODING: The main threat of flooding today is over the northern half of the state… a flash flood watch is in effect north of a line from Butler to Marion to Clanton to Anniston… amounts of 2 inches will be common here, with isolated totals to 3 inches. If you are in a flood prone area, pay attention to any flash flood warnings that are issued.

SEVERE STORMS: The core threat of severe thunderstorms today will be over the southern half of Alabama, where the air will be somewhat unstable. SPC continues to define an “enhanced risk” (level 3/5) of severe thunderstorms for areas south and west of a line from Demopolis to Greenville to Geneva. A “slight risk” (level 2/5) extends as far north as Tuscaloosa, Jemison, and Opelika. A “marginal risk” (level 1/5) runs up to places like Jasper, Birmingham, and Anniston, but the chance of severe storms there is low since the air will be cool and stable.

The window for severe storms will open up over Southwest Alabama around noon; the severe weather threat ends around midnight across the southeast tip of the state. The highest risk of tornadoes is in the “enhanced risk” across Southwest and South Central Alabama this afternoon and this evening. An isolated strong tornado (EF-2 or higher) can’t be ruled out.

BE READY: Be sure you can hear severe weather warnings if they are needed later today and tonight. A NOAA Weather Radio is the baseline for every home and business… and be sure WEA (Wireless Emergency Alerts) are enabled on your phone. Install the free ABC 33/40 Weather app. Know the safe place in your home (lowest floor, near the center of the house, away from windows), and have helmets for everyone there. If you live in a mobile home, know the location of the nearest shelter or site built structure that is available, how to get there quickly, and have transportation.

WIND: Pressure gradient winds (not related to thunderstorms) could gust to 30 mph in spots today.

Rain and storms will end from west to east tonight.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: The weather will be dry and colder. The sky will be mostly sunny tomorrow and Friday with highs in the 50s. A disturbance will bring some clouds Saturday, any light rain will be confined to areas near the immediate Gulf Coast. Saturday’s high will be in the 47-53 degree range. Then, Sunday will be a sunny day with a high in the 40s over North Alabama, 50s for the southern counties. Temperatures drop into the 20s Sunday morning… for most places this will be the first freeze since December 1.

NEXT WEEK: For now the week looks dry with highs in the 40s and 50s, with lows around freezing each morning. Very cold, Arctic air will likely roll into Alabama late in the week and over the Christmas weekend; this is the type airmass that could bring sub-freezing temperatures to Alabama for around 72 consecutive hours, and push lows into the single digits in spots over the northern counties. We will be much more specific about this cold wave in coming days… See the daily Weather Briefing video for maps, graphics, and more details.

ON THIS DATE IN 1952: Trace of snow or sleet at or near Pensacola, Crestview, DeFuniak Springs, Quincy, Carrabelle, Tallahassee, St. Marks, Monticello, Madison, Mayo, Live Oak, Lake City, Glen St. Mary, and Hilliard in Florida. Frozen precipitation occurred before noon at most points, but happened in the afternoon at Mayo and Lake City and near Hilliard. Temperatures were above freezing and snow or sleet melted as it fell.

ON THIS DATE IN 1997: A cold core upper low brought an unexpected band of heavy snow to parts of West-Central Alabama… parts of Choctaw, Sumter, Greene, Hale, and Marengo counties experienced over 6 inches of snow when a cold rain was forecast. In Mississippi, this was one of the heavier snowfalls to occur since 1929. The weight of the snow caused limbs of trees to break, which knocked down power lines.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

Look for the next Weather Briefing video here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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