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Very Dry Pattern For Alabama Into October

| September 27, 2023 @ 5:52 am

SHOWERS REMAIN SCARCE: A few widely scattered showers or storms could develop over South Alabama later today and early tonight, but the chance of any given spot there seeing rain is 25 percent or less. Otherwise, today will be dry with a partly to mostly sunny along with a high in the 85-91 degree range.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: An upper ridge will build across the region, meaning dry weather with mostly sunny warm days and fair pleasant nights. Highs will be mostly in the 80s, with lows in the 60s.

NEXT WEEK: The ridge holds, and dry conditions will likely continue across most of Alabama and the Deep South as we get into October. Highs hold in the 80s, lows remain in the 60s. No sign of any high impact or major rain event here for at least the next 7-10 days. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.

RAPID ONSET DROUGHT POTENTIAL: CPC (NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center) has highlighted the possibility of rapid onset drought (ROD) across south-central Tennessee and most of Alabama in their 8-14 hazards outlook. This is due to the combination of little to no rain, limited soil moisture, and warmer-than-average temperatures. Most of the water supplies across Alabama are in fairly good shape, but the Alabama Forestry Commission (AFC) maintains a statewide Fire Alert. While under a Fire Alert, permits for outdoor burning will be restricted. Anyone who burns a field, grassland, or woodland without a burn permit may be subject to prosecution for committing a Class B misdemeanor.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: The sky will be mostly fair for the high school football games across Alabama Friday night with temperatures falling through the 70s.

Saturday, UAB travels to New Orleans to take on Tulane (11:00a CT kickoff). The sky will be partly too mostly sunny with an outside risk of a brief shower or storm during the game. Temperatures will rise from near 84 at kickoff to 88 degrees by the final whistle.

Auburn hosts Georgia at Jordan-Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny. Temperatures will hover in the mid to upper 80s through most of the game.

And, Alabama will be in Starkville to take on Mississippi State (8:00p CT kickoff). Expect a clear sky with temperatures falling through the 70s.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Philippe, with winds of 45 mph, is about 680 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands this morning. The system is expected to degenerate into a remnant low within the next 72 hours due to shear and dry air around the system.

And, a tropical wave trailing Philippe (Invest 91L) is expected to become Tropical Storm Rina soon, but it will turn north into the open Atlantic and is no threat to land.

No tropical systems are expected near the Gulf of Mexico for at least the next seven days.

ON THIS DATE IN 1906: The second September storm of 1906 was one of great violence. On September 27 the hurricane reached the central Gulf Coast with destructive winds and unprecedented tides. At Pensacola, the tide was 10 feet above normal. At Mobile, property damage was severe. An estimated 134 lives were lost from Pensacola to Mississippi from this storm.

ON THIS DATE IN 1985: Hurricane Gloria swept over the NC Outer Banks then rushed across Long Island, New England, and Canada. It was the first significant hurricane to hit New England in twenty-five years and brought heavy rains and high winds to the Mid-Atlantic states as well.

Look for the next video briefing here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Weather Xtreme Videos

About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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