Unsettled Weather Through Tomorrow; Dry Air Returns Sunday
WET AT TIMES: An unsettled weather pattern is ahead for Alabama through tomorrow night as we will deal with occasional showers and a few thunderstorms. A very humid airmass will remain parked across the state, and a surface front will slowly approach from the northwest.
We note SPC has most of the state in some type of severe thunderstorm risk this afternoon and tonight. Thankfully wind fields at the surface and aloft are relatively weak, and the dynamic support isn’t especially strong. But, during the peak of the daytime heating late this afternoon and this evening a few storms could produce strong, gusty winds and some hail. Forecast wind profiles suggest no meaningful tornado threat. And, the highest coverage of showers and storms will be over the northern half of the state. The high this afternoon will be in the mid 80s in most places.
THE WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy and cooler with periods of rain and a thunderstorm or two. No real concern over severe storms tomorrow with the air being more stable. However, rain coverage will likely be higher than today as the surface front pushes into the northwest corner of the state. Still, it won’t rain all day, and the rain will end from northwest to southwest during the evening hours. By midnight tomorrow night all of the rain should be out of the state. Tomorrow’s high will be in the 70-75 degree range due to clouds and showers. Rain amounts between now and tomorrow night will be in the 1-2 inch range for much of Alabama.
The sky becomes partly to mostly sunny Sunday, although clouds could linger over the Tennessee Valley. The high Sunday will remain in the low to mid 70s.
NEXT WEEK: Many North Alabama communities will drop into the 40s early Monday morning as cooler air settles in. The weather will be dry Monday and Tuesday with highs in the mid to upper 70s. Global models are now suggesting an upper trough will bring periods of rain back into Alabama over the latter half of the week, Wednesday through Friday. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
ON THIS DATE IN 1983: Severe thunderstorms produced 21 tornadoes across the northeastern states of Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and New York. One tornado even occurred in Ontario, Canada. Of the 21 tornadoes in the United States, nine were rated F3, and six were rated F2. The tornadoes caused five deaths.
ON THIS DATE IN 2010: May began with two days of historical rainfall over much of Middle Tennessee, with massive swath stretching along the I-40 corridor from Benton County to Davidson County. Some areas received nearly 20 inches of rain during this 2-day period, the highest of which was 19.41 inches reported by a CoCoRaHS observer in Camden, TN. Many Nashville landmarks received damage from floodwaters, including Gaylord Opryland Hotel and the Grand Ole Opry. Other popular Nashville landmarks affected by the floods include LP Field, Bridgestone Arena, the Country Music Hall of Fame, and the Schermerhorn Symphony Center, which received damage to the basement and its contents, including two Steinway grand pianos and the console of the Martin Foundation Concert Organ.
Look for the next video briefing here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
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