Severe Weather Threat for Northern Counties
The latest day one convective outlook has been issued and the Storm Prediction Center has now included portions of northern Alabama in a slight risk for severe weather. Areas from Pickens, Fayette, Cullman, Marshall and De Kalb Counties and areas to the north and west are included in this risk for severe weather. Hamilton, Cullman, Hunstville, Muscle Shoals and Haleyville are some of the larger cities included in the risk.
A cluster of showers and thunderstorms continues to push east across the state of Tennessee. There are a few severe thunderstorm warnings with this complex. Daytime heating, a very warm moist and unstable air mass and lift provided by outflow boundaries will allow for showers and thunderstorms to develop. The main concern with any severe weather that develops will be damaging winds and large hail. The main tornado threat should remain to the west of Alabama as a moderate risk for severe weather has been issued for areas from the Mississippi River back to Texas.
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Warm, Dry Weather For Alabama
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WE KNOW HOW THEY FEEL: I think this image taken by my friend from ABC News, Ginger Zee, pretty much sums up the situation in Moore, OK yesterday…
We will post opportunities to help these people as we learn of them. Death toll is 91 as I write this early this morning, and there is fear it will go higher. Probably over 100. Our death toll in Alabama April 27, 2011 was 252.
STILL DRY TODAY: Expect a good supply of sunshine across Alabama today with a high in the 86-90 degree range this afternoon. For some it will be the warmest day so far in 2013.
TO THE WEST: SPC has defined a “moderate risk” of severe weather for the Ark-La-Tex region… some cities included in this enhanced risk include Dallas, Shreveport, Texarkana, and Tyler. A slight risk surrounds this from the Texas Hill Country to Michigan.
TOMORROW/THURSDAY: The deep upper trough responsible for the severe weather across the Great Plains in recent days will weaken and pass far north of Alabama… any severe storms will be in states like Ohio, West Virginia, and Pennsylvania. We will mention a chance of scattered showers and storms here tomorrow, but rain amounts should be generally light and spotty. Other, tomorrow will be warm with a mix of sun and clouds and a high in the mid 80s.
We will hang on to some risk of a shower Thursday with a cold front passing through, but again rain amounts should be light, and some spots will miss the rain completely.
FRIDAY THROUGH THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: The weather doesn’t get any better as a dry, continental airmass drops into Alabama. Expect sunny warm days, and clear cool nights. We won’t get out of the 70s Friday with a refreshing north breeze, and it now looks like we will see a low near 50 degrees early Saturday, with 40s likely for the cooler spots around here. We rarely enjoy cool mornings like this in late May. Absolutely no risk of rain for the long, holiday weekend.
GULF COAST WEATHER: Looks great through Memorial Day from Panama City to Gulf Shores. You might see a brief passing shower or storm tomorrow or Thursday, otherwise mostly sunny days and fair nights. Highs on the immediate coast near 80, with mid 80s inland. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 77 degrees.
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WeatherBrains 382: Violent Tornado in Moore, OK
WeatherBrains Episode 382 is now online (May 20, 2013). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!
No WeatherBrains guest tonight as the show takes on a more somber note in light of the tragic news coming out of Moore, OK, where a tornado today was responsible for over 50 fatalities (at the time of the posting of the show notes). The discussion focuses on some of the issues that come out of events like this.
The winner of the contest for the bobblehead doll will be announced next week.
Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:
Our email bag officer will have the email bag in total next week.
From The Weather Center:
WeatherBrains 101 and This Week in Weather History will be back next week.
Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.
Web Sites from Episode 382:
Moore, OK, Tracks from 1999 and 2013
Picks of the Week:
With the major weather events of today in Central Oklahoma, the picks of the week will also return next week.
The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like JB Elliott, Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.
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Dry Through Tomorrow
**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video… working social media support for the Moore, OK tornado**
A violent tornado moved through Moore, Oklahoma earlier this afternoon… destruction is severe and widespread; at least two schools were hit. We simply don’t know about fatalities or injuries since it happened less than one hour ago. Below is one of the schools hit… photo from KFOR-TV
90 DEGREES POSSIBLE TOMORROW: Here at home, an upper ridge will keep our weather dry tomorrow… we have potential for the first 90 degree day of 2013, but the latest guidance has most places in the 86-89 degree range, which sounds more likely due to the wet soil conditions.
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Scattered showers and storms are likely on these two days, but severe weather is not expected since the upper dynamics will weaken and pass well north of the state. Still, a strong storm or two is certainly possible Wednesday afternoon. Rain amounts should be one inch or less.
FRIDAY AND THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Delightful weather, with sunny warm days and clear cool nights. Looks like we drop into the cool 50s early Friday, Saturday, and Sunday morning. Highs will be near 80 Friday, with low to mid 80s Saturday and Sunday. The weather stays dry on Monday, Memorial Day.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show at 8:30 p.m. CT… you can watch live here.
CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…
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Large, Wedge Tornado Approaching Moore, OK
From the air… from KFOR-TV
From the ground… from @ks0stm
Radar debris ball…. from OKC terminal radar…
TDS (tornado debris signature) from OKC dual pol CC…
