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Rain Changing To Light Snow Today

| 6:32 am January 22, 2016

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY: No changes in the “winter weather advisory” from the National Weather Service offices in Birmingham and Huntsville; it is in effect basically for areas north of a line from Tuscaloosa to Calera to Roanoke. Remember, for the Birmingham NWS office the criteria for an advisory is snow 1/4″ to 2″.

RIGHT NOW: Showers, and even a few thunderstorms, continue over Alabama at daybreak…

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Temperatures are generally in the low 50s, and as we have discussed in recent days, they will go the wrong way today. We fall through the 40s, and wind up in the 30s this afternoon as cold air rushes into the state. Dynamic cooling from the very deep upper trough will also be a factor.

RAIN TO SNOW: We have adjusted the timing a bit on the projected change from rain to light snow based on radar trends; snow should begin to fall up in the Shoals area of far Northwest Alabama around 8:00 a.m. The rain/snow line will work eastward during the day as temperatures fall.

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IMPORTANT NOTES….

*Temperatures are not expected to drop below freezing until tonight. Initially during the day, roads will be just wet with temperatures in the mid to upper 30s. The possible exception is far Northwest Alabama, where icy travel could begin around Muscle Shoals by afternoon. Slick spots are possible on roads tonight, especially after 9:00 (for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden).

*Slick spots/icy patches will remain possible through about mid-morning tomorrow; conditions will improve by midday tomorrow as temperatures rise into the mid to upper 30s.

*Much of the snow will come in the form of convective showers, much like rain showers on summer afternoons. This means the distribution will not be even, and snow amounts will vary greatly. Some will get nothing, others will see the ground go white very quickly. No way of resolving where the heavier snow showers develop. For most of North/Central Alabama, some will see 1 inch, others will see nothing, and most will see something in between.

*As the cold core upper trough swings through here late today and tonight, expect a surprise or two; these things are always interesting and can do things you don’t expect.

NORTHEAST OF ALABAMA: A major winter storm will unfold, with a blizzard warning up for the Washington/Baltimore area…

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Travel will become difficult, and in many areas impossible, in the heavier snow zones later today and tonight.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be breezy and cold with a few lingering morning snow flurries; we won’t get of of the 30s. Sunday morning will be cold with a low in the lower 20s, but we rise to near 50 degrees by afternoon with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: Monday will be dry and warmer… some places could reach 60 degrees. Then, showers are possible Tuesday thanks to a passing cold front, followed by colder air Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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We will have frequent updates through the day on the blog… stay tuned!

Active Weather Pattern Continues

| 6:29 am January 20, 2016

THIS MORNING: The NWS Huntsville is maintaining the “winter weather advisory” for far North Alabama; Lauderdale, Limestone, Madison, Jackson, and DeKalb Counties. However, temperatures are generally above freezing, and so far there have been no ice issues in our state. If we have any freezing rain, it will most likely come over Jackson and DeKalb Counties, where temperatures are colder. And, even there problems will be pretty limited, and of very short duration.

Otherwise, today will be cloudy with a chance of some light rain at times; we rise into the upper 40s this afternoon.

TOMORROW/TOMORROW NIGHT: A deepening surface low will move from near Shreveport to Tupelo, and a warm front will lift slowly northward through Alabama. Rain is likely tomorrow, and thunderstorms are possible tomorrow night as the surface low gets closer. We note SPC has now defined a “marginal” severe weather risk for extreme West Alabama late tomorrow and tomorrow night, with the standard “slight” risk to the west…

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Seems like the core severe weather threat will come over Louisiana and South Mississippi; instability values will be very limited over Alabama tomorrow night. Still, we will watch radar trends closely. This will be a good rain event for the state, with most communities seeing one inch.

FRIDAY: The surface low moves northeast of Alabama, and the big eastern U.S. snow storm begins. Here at home, the day will be cloudy and breezy with some lingering light rain. Temperatures at daybreak should be in the 50s, but they fall through the 40s, reaching the 30s by afternoon as strong cold air advection begins. And, as the cold air arrives, the light rain should change to light snow or snow flurries by mid to late afternoon.

We will maintain the risk of flurries Friday night; accumulation potential remains low, and no impact is expected. I do believe high terrain locations over East and Northeast Alabama could see enough snow to make the ground white; if you really need to build a snow man, I would suggest Cheaha State Park, Alabama’s highest mountain (just south of Anniston). They might see an inch or two at their elevation, which is 2,400 feet.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be cold, breezy, and blustery with a risk of light morning snow flurries. Temperatures will have a hard time getting past the mid 30s, and the wind chill index will stay below freezing all day. We will drop into the low 20s by daybreak Sunday.

Then, during the day Sunday, we will warm to near 50 degrees with sunshine in full supply.

EASTERN U.S. SNOW: Snow amounts of two feet will be possible through parts of West Virginia, Virginia, and Maryland Friday and Saturday. Baltimore and Washington will receive over one foot of snow, and travel in this region will become difficult, if not impossible. The snow expands up into Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston as well later in the weekend. This will be a high impact event for this big population corridor.

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NEXT WEEK: Looks like some light rain is possible Monday night and Tuesday, possibly into Wednesday. No sign of any winter weather mischief for Alabama, and with the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation trending positive later in the month, we might see a spell of “winter warmth” around the first of February with highs up in the 60s for a few days. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program today at Bluff Park Elementary School in Hoover… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Rain Moves In Late Tonight

| 3:07 pm January 14, 2016

PLEASANT AFTERNOON: Temperatures have reached the low 60s across North/Central Alabama this afternoon, with sunshine through a high cirrus cloud layer. Clouds will thicken in coming hours, and rain should move in after midnight as a surface low passes south of here.

Looks like the main window for rain will come from about 3:00 a.m. until 9:00 a.m…. with just a touch of lingering light rain tomorrow afternoon. No severe weather threat, and thunder should be confined to South Alabama. Rain amounts should be 1/2 inch or less. Temperatures rise into the mid to upper 50s tomorrow afternoon.

THE WEEKEND: Saturday looks dry, but mostly cloudy with a high in the low to mid 50s. The sun might peek out at times. A wave will pass well to the south, in the Gulf of Mexico Saturday night, and it might bring a few sprinkles or flurries to the northern half of Alabama, but the air will be very dry, and nothing significant is expected. Best chance of seeing some light rain Saturday night will be over far South Alabama, especially near the Gulf Coast.

Then, during the day Sunday, expect a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the upper 40s.

COLD AIR BLAST EARLY NEXT WEEK: A pretty good surge of cold, Arctic air blows in here Sunday night, and it looks like most North Alabama communities won’t get out of the 30s Monday and Tuesday, despite a good supply of sunshine both days. The coldest morning will come early Tuesday… we are forecasting a low between 18 and 22 degrees.

The weather warms up later in the week, with rain becoming likely by late Thursday and Thursday night. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

JANUARY HURRICANE: Hurricane Alex formed this morning over in the far eastern Atlantic; the first hurricane in the Atlantic basin since Alice in 1955, and the first hurricane to form during the month of January since 1938.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at South Shades Crest Elementary in Hoover… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Light Rain Tonight; More Cold Air By Sunday

| 3:09 pm January 7, 2016

THIS AFTERNOON: With a cloudy sky, temperatures are generally in the low to mid 50s across North/Central Alabama. To the south, rain is becoming widespread along the Alabama Gulf Coast, and that same feature will bring some light rain at times to the northern half of the state tonight. The main window for rain will come from 5:00 p.m. until 3:00 a.m., and amounts will be under 1/4 inch in most places. We won’t drop below the mid 40s tonight with the clouds and light rain.

TOMORROW: Clouds linger during the day, but it should be mostly rain-free with a pleasant afternoon. We are forecasting a high between 59 and 63 degrees, about 5 to 10 degrees above average for early January.

MORE RAIN SATURDAY: We will have a wet day as the weekend begins. A deepening surface low will be just northwest of Memphis at midday, and we will forecast occasional rain through the day. Some surface based instability will be available, and a few thunderstorms are possible as well, but there is no risk of severe weather. The high Saturday will be in the low 60s, but don’t get used to the milder conditions.

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Another shot of cold air blows in here Sunday with a brisk north wind. It will be a breezy, cold, and raw day with a cloudy sky and some drizzle at times. Temperatures will settle into the 38-43 degree range, and a north wind of 10-20 mph will make it feel colder. A few snow flurries are possible over far North Alabama Sunday in the colder air, but no impact is expected.

NEXT WEEK: The week looks cold and dry. We should be well below freezing each morning, with highs generally in the 40s. Seems like the next opportunity for rain will come around Saturday January 16… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). Expect a mix of sun and clouds; just a small risk of a shower early in the game. Temperatures will rise from 42 degrees at kickoff, to near 46 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the mid 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half. The stadium has a roof, but it will be pretty chilly walking to and from your transportation.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Cooler Air Moving In; Rain Ends Tomorrow

| 2:35 pm December 1, 2015

WET, COOL DECEMBER DAY: On this rainy day, we have falling temperatures across much North and West Alabama. After starting the day in the 60s, we now have 50s in most places north and west of Birmingham…

Temperatures

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Widespread rain will continue tonight, ending from west to east early tomorrow morning. Rain totals of 1-2 inches are likely; a few spots could see over 2 inches. No severe storms, probably no thunder. Just a good soaking rain.

TOMORROW: We won’t get out of the 50s tomorrow, and the clearing process should begin tomorrow afternoon as drier air works in. The sky will become clear tomorrow night, and we will drop into the mid 30s by early Thursday morning.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: These two days will be cool and dry with highs in the 50s; coldest morning will come early Friday with low 30s likely… we could see upper 20s in colder spots.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The weather stays rain-free Saturday and Sunday; expect mostly sunny conditions both days with highs around 60, and early morning lows in the 30s.

NEXT WEEK: A deep upper trough will pass over Alabama Monday… there won’t be much moisture available, but it should squeeze out a few showers. Then, the rest of the week looks cool and dry with seasonal temperatures. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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FOOTBALL WEATHER: If you are headed to the SEC Championship game Saturday in Atlanta, the weather will be delightful, with a sunny sky and a high around 60 degrees. Nice weather inside the dome and outside as well this year.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
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I had a great time today seeing the 6th graders at Berry Middle School in Hoover… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! Also, I enjoyed speaking to the residents at Harbor Chase Senior Living in Jasper. I will be live at the Comedy Club on ABC 33/40 News this evening at 4, 5, and 6:00 as we kick off the annual Toys for Tots campaign. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…