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Drier Air Arrives Tonight

| 6:18 am July 30, 2015

SURFACE FRONT ON THE WAY: Note we don’t call them “cold fronts” in late July in Alabama, but a surface boundary will drop into North Alabama today, and accordingly we believe the highest coverage of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will be south of I-20 (south of a line from Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston). Chance of any one spot getting wet today in that part of the state will be about one in three, but the odds are much lower north of Birmingham, where dew points will begin to fall this afternoon as the drier air arrives. Most communities will see a high up in the mid 90s again today.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: The GFS is suggesting dew points will drop into the upper 50s as far south as Birmingham tomorrow, and this dry means showers will be few and far between across the northern half of the state; scattered storms will be primarily over the southern quarter of Alabama. We reach the mid 90s tomorrow, but the lower humidity levels will make the heat a little more tolerable.

Some North Alabama communities could reach the mid 60s early Saturday morning for a little touch of fall.

Then, for the weekend, not much change. Mostly sunny days and fair nights for the northern half of the state with only a very small risk of any one spot seeing a shower or storm. Scattered storms remain possible across South Alabama. Highs stay in the 90s.

NEXT WEEK: Showers remain very isolated over North/Central Alabama Monday and Tuesday, with a slow increase in coverage over the latter half of the week as deeper moisture returns. Highs will stay in the 90s next week, which is what we expect in early August in Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily through the weekend on the Central Gulf Coast with a passing thunderstorm from time to time. Highs on the coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s just a few miles inland. Sea water temperatures remain in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: A disturbance east of Jacksonville, Florida will move northeast, and no development is expected. And, out in the far East Atlantic, a tropical wave emerged off the coast of Africa yesterday… just a small chance of slow development in coming days as it moves westward. Dry air will be a problem for this wave.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Big Storms Across Alabama

| 3:51 pm July 29, 2015

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

RADAR CHECK: Strong to severe storms have been moving southward across much of Alabama today, with strong gusty winds, very frequent lightning, and torrential rain.

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These showers and storms will die down once the sun goes down later this evening.

TOMORROW: A surface boundary will push into North Alabama, and it could trigger a few storms, but not as many as today, and the more numerous ones will be south of I-20. Where they do form, however, they could be strong, as SPC maintains a “marginal” severe weather threat for much of the state. The high tomorrow afternoon should be in the mid 90s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Dry air slips into the northern half of the state, meaning these three days will be mostly dry with only a very small risk of any one spot seeing a shower or storm. We expect mostly sunny days, fair nights, and slightly lower humidity values. The best chance of scattered storms over the weekend will be over the southern quarter of the state. Highs will remain in the mid 90s, but the lower dew points will make the heat a little more tolerable.

And, the first part of next week looks mostly rain-free with mostly sunny weather continuing Monday and Tuesday; just a slight risk of any one spot getting a storm.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily through the weekend from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach, but you will have to deal with a few passing thunderstorms from time to time. Highs on the immediate coast will stay in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: A tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa in the far East Atlantic; no development expected over the next few days as it moves to the west.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Storms More Numerous Today

| 6:30 am July 29, 2015

RADAR CHECK: We have a few showers and storms on radar early this morning across Central Alabama… moving to the southeast.

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When you see early morning storms in summer, that is a pretty good sign the atmosphere is unstable and not capped, and that often means scattered to numerous showers and storms later in the day during the peak of the daytime heating process. The chance of any one spot seeing a storm today is about 50/50, and some of them could be strong. SPC maintains a “marginal” severe weather risk for much of Alabama today…

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The prime risk will come from “wet microbursts”, or local areas of strong straight line winds. And, of course, all summer storms pack gobs of lightning. Most communities will see a high in the low to mid 90s today with a mix of sun and clouds.

TOMORROW: A surface boundary (notice we don’t call them “cold fronts” in late July) will move down into North Alabama, and will probably trigger more thunderstorms. I don’t think the coverage of the storms will be as high as today, but where they do form, they could be strong again, and SPC maintains a “marginal” severe weather threat for much of the state tomorrow. The high tomorrow afternoon will be in the mid 90s with a mix of sun and clouds.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Drier air will filter into the northern half of Alabama, meaning slightly lower humidity levels, slightly cooler nights, and very few showers on these three days. The best chance of scattered storms will be over the southern third of the state. Highs will be in the 90s, but many North Alabama communities will enjoy lows in the 60s over the weekend because of the drier air and lower dew points.

The weather for the first few days of next week looks pretty calm with only isolated storms… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Gulf Shores east to Panama City Beach through the weekend, with a passing storm from time to time. Highs on the coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICAL WEATHER: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend. The peak of the season usually comes in August and September, and it ends on the last day of November.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Trending Hotter/Drier Over The Weekend

| 6:09 am July 24, 2015

OCEAN OF HUMIDITY: We have a few scattered showers over West Alabama at daybreak… otherwise the sky is mostly cloudy with areas of dense fog.

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The showers are moving southeast, and with rich low level moisture in place, we will maintain the chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the day, although the rain won’t be as extensive as yesterday. Some rain totals Thursday include 2.37? at Helena, 1.69? at Lake View, 1.61? at Montgomery, 1.40? at Coker, and 1.17? at Bessemer.

We project a high today close to 90 degrees in most places with intervals of sunshine away from the scattered showers.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The upper ridge begins to rebuild, so the weather trends hotter and drier. Still, no doubt we will have a few storms around both days, but they will be much more scattered in nature. Expect a good supply of sunshine tomorrow and Sunday with a high back up in the mid 90s.

NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms stay widely scattered, and mostly during the afternoon and evening hours Monday and Tuesday… then increasing again over the latter half of the week as the ridge weakens. Highs well up in the 90s Monday and Tuesday, but by Friday of next week many places will see a high only in the 80s because of clouds and showers. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: We project about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through early next week, with a passing thunderstorm from time to time. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning is 85 degrees. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: Still no sign of any tropical storm formation across the Atlantic basin through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Good Summer Rain For Alabama

| 3:26 pm July 23, 2015

Anyone remember the song by Johnny Rivers?

“Summer rain taps at my window
West wind soft as a sweet dream
My love warm as the sunshine
Sittin’ here by me, she’s here by me”

We have enjoyed some very beneficial summer rain across the great state of Alabama today…

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Photo below is a storm approaching Birmingham from @chinaski

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Stronger storms this evening will produce heavy rain, frequent lightning, and gusty winds as they move southeast. Showers and storms will diminish tonight.

Birmingham’s high today was only 87 degrees… the first day below 90 since July 6.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: The upper ridge will begin to rebuild; the air aloft will be warmer, and our weather will trend hotter and drier. Tomorrow thunderstorms will be more scattered, and mostly during the afternoon and evening hours; temperatures go back up into the low 90s.

We project mid 90s Saturday and Sunday with a good supply of sunshine both days. Understand storms are certainly possible over the weekend, but they will be widely spaced, and mostly during the peak of the daytime heat.

NEXT WEEK: Hot, humid weather continues early next week with a decent amount of summer sun, and a few scattered storms each afternoon. The upper ridge weakens again later in the week, with an increase in showers and storms likely by Thursday and Friday (July 30-31). See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Gulf Shores west to Panama City Beach through the weekend, with a passing thunderstorm from time to time. Maximum temperatures will stay in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with mid 90s just a few miles inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s; See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet. Global models have hinted at lower pressure just off the South Atlantic coast of the U.S. in a few days, but little development. If anything happens to form there, it won’t impact Alabama.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Wet At Times Today; Drier This Weekend

| 5:32 am July 23, 2015

RADAR CHECK: We have patchy light rain across Alabama as the day begins; the sky is mostly cloudy with temperatures in the 70s.

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The air will be rather unstable today, and we expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms by afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center maintains a “marginal” severe weather risk for much of the state… like yesterday the primary threat with the stronger storm will be microburst potential (local areas of strong winds, enough in come cases to knock down trees and power lines).

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Birmingham has recorded a high of 90 degrees or higher for the past 16 consecutive days; some places could hold in the 80s all day today due to clouds and showers.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: The upper ridge begins to rebuild, and the air becomes more stable. Still, scattered, mostly afternoon storms are possible tomorrow with a high from 91 to 94. Then, by Saturday and Sunday, we expect a good supply of summer sunshine both days with highs up in the mid 90s. Understand we always have the risk of a thunderstorm on a summer afternoon in Alabama, but they should be pretty widely spaced over the weekend.

NEXT WEEK: Pretty typical mid-summer weather is likely… partly sunny days, fair nights, and the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs will be in the 90s, and lows in the 70s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Not much change; about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily along the coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through the weekend with the standard chance of a passing thunderstorm from time to time. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures remain mostly in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through Saturday.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!