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Active Summer Weather

| 3:31 pm June 24, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Showers and storms have been moving northeast through Alabama today…

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The storms produced tree and power line damage in parts of Walker and Blount Counties, where winds gusted to 40/50 mph in spots.

We will maintain a chance of showers and storms tonight as an upper trough passes through the state.

REST OF THE WEEK: Showers and storms should be fewer in number tomorrow as the upper trough moves on to the east; looks like storms tomorrow afternoon will be widely spaced, and mostly south of I-20.

Another weak impulse could bring a little higher coverage of scattered showers and storms Thursday, thinning out again Friday. Highs will be in the 87 to 90 degree range tomorrow through Friday with a mix of sun and clouds each day.

OUR WEEKEND: We will maintain the classic summer forecast… partly sunny days, and the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” Saturday and Sunday. Afternoon highs around 90… chance of any one spot getting wet will be about one in three. And, pretty much the same story into early next week.

No sign of any serious heat building across the Deep South through mid-July, which is very good news.

AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day through the weekend, with the usual risk of a passing storm from time to time. Highs in the upper 80s from Panama City to Gulf Shores (along the immediate coast), with low 90s possible inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the kids in the Summer Enrichment Workshop for gifted and talented students (K-8th grade) in the Tuscaloosa area… it was hosted at Matthews Elementary School in Northport. Be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News!

The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Occasional Showers/Storms Today

| 6:02 am June 24, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WET AT TIMES: A fairly unsettled weather pattern will continue across Alabama today as showers and thunderstorms are likely thanks to an upper trough approaching from the west. Showers are in progress at daybreak in scattered pockets, and they will become more numerous throughout the day.

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Stronger upper winds today will mean the storms will be moving a little faster, which should prevent flooding issues. But, the heavier storms will produce lots of lightning, gusty winds, heavy rain, and some small hail. We won’t get past the mid 80s today due the clouds and showers.

REST OF THE WEEK: The upper trough should be east of the state tomorrow, so showers should become more scattered in nature, and mostly during the afternoon and evening hours tomorrow through Friday. Expect a mix of sun and clouds each day with a high between 87 and 90 degrees.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Don’t see any reason to depart from the standard summer forecast… partly sunny days with the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” Saturday and Sunday. Look for a high around 90 degrees both days.

And, very similar weather can be expected into early next week. There is no skill in trying to identify the small scale features than can impact placement and coverage of scattered showers and storms several days in advance.. .so the persistence forecast is usually the best route. After all, this is summertime in Alabama.

AT THE BEACH: About 4-6 hours of sun today with a passing shower or thunderstorm… then expect increasing amounts of sun from Panama City to Gulf Shores with fewer showers tomorrow through the weekend. Highs will be in the upper 80s along the coast, with low 90s inland. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 82 degrees.

TROPICS: All is quiet this morning across the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I will be doing a weather program this morning for kids in a summer program at Matthews Elementary School in Northport… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Wet At Times Today; A Drier Weekend

| 6:08 am June 13, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

FRIDAY THE 13TH: A batch of showers and strong storms is moving through Central Alabama at daybreak…

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This mass of rain will move southeast over the next few hours with some thunder and lightning, but the storms involved will be below severe limits.

REST OF THE DAY: The high resolution HRRR model hints the most organized this morning will be along and south of I-20, with showers to the north being more scattered in nature. Still, all of Alabama will have a chance of showers and storms today with a mostly cloudy sky and a high in the mid 80s. Showers will fade away early tonight as drier air begins to push into the state.

DRIER WEEKEND: The Alabama weekend continues to look mostly rain-free. A few isolated showers could show up somewhere during the afternoon hours, but the chance of any one spot getting wet is only about one in ten both days. Afternoon highs rise into the upper 80s with a good supply of sunshine both days.

NEXT WEEK: Looks like a pretty routine summer weather pattern. Partly sunny days, with the chance of a few spots seeing an afternoon shower of thunderstorm. Probability of any one spot getting wet each afternoon will run in the 20-30 percent range, with potential for higher shower coverage late in the week. Highs will be pretty close to 90 degrees. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through early next week.

AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day through early next week from Panama City to Gulf Shores with a few scattered showers and storms. Highs on the coast in the 80s, with sea water temperatures mostly in the low 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I will be live from Riverfest in Gadsden this evening on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00… so no afternoon video today, but I will post some forecast notes this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Severe Weather Threat Winds Down

| 3:44 pm June 10, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

HEAVIER STORMS MOVING INTO GEORGIA: Most of the state made it through the storms this afternoon unscathed… the line of strong storms is pushing into Georgia as I write this at mid-afternoon.

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Lingering showers will taper off this evening across Alabama. More storms could arrive later tonight, but they are not expected to be severe.

TOMORROW: An upper trough will rotate through the state, and we will continue to mention scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. While we don’t expect any organized severe weather, we might hear of a few reports of small hail because of colder air aloft associated with the upper trough. The sky will be generally cloudy, and the high will be only in the low 80s.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: These days should feature some typical June weather… partly sunny days with the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs in the mid 80s Thursday, and upper 80s Friday… chance of any one spot getting wet is about one in three.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Another upper trough will approach Saturday, and it looks like that will bring an increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms as the weekend begins. More clouds than sun, and a high Saturday in the mid to upper 80s. Then, Sunday looks brighter and drier with ample sunshine and just a few widely scattered showers and storms during the afternoon and evening hours. Sunday’s high should be in the upper 80s.

NEXT WEEK: The GFS model continues to develop an upper high over the Deep South, meaning mostly hot and dry weather for the first half of the week. A few afternoon storms could show up, but most likely they will be few and far between. Highs in the low 90s… see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Look for an increase in the number of scattered showers and storms from Panama City over to Gulf Shores tomorrow and Thursday, but the weather looks pretty good Friday and over the weekend, with about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day along with some risk of widely scattered thunderstorms. Highs will remain in the 80s; the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is up to 85 degrees.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Strong/Severe Storms Again Today

| 6:19 am June 10, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AT DAYBREAK: We have a few showers and storms over the western half of the state early this morning, moving northeast in the moist environment over Alabama.

We expect more active weather today with the dual risk of severe thunderstorms and flash flooding. SPC has much of the state west of a line from Anniston to Clanton to Chatom under the standard “slight risk” of severe weather today…

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In addition, a flash flood watch is in effect for much of North and West Alabama, generally along and north of I-59. Additional rain amounts of over two inches could produce some flooding problems through tomorrow.

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: Like recent events, hail and strong straight line winds are the primary threats today, however with good upper support from a trough to the west providing a decent amount of shear, we can’t rule out an isolated tornado. Tornadoes are rare in Alabama in June, but they can happen, and the synoptic scale system impacting the state today looks more like something you would see in April or May.

The core severe risk will come from about 12:00 noon through 9:00 p.m. Be sure and pay attention to the various watches and warnings that will be needed today.

TOMORROW: Still looks wet with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. The severe weather risk will be lower, but flash flooding remains possible.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Storms become a bit more scattered in nature, and mainly during the afternoon and evening hours; the high Thursday will be in the mid 80s, followed by upper 80s Friday. Both days will feature a mix of sun and clouds.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Another upper trough west of the state will keep the weather somewhat unsettled. Scattered showers and storms are still possible Saturday and Sunday, perhaps numerous at times. The sun will be out occasionally, however, and highs will be in the upper 80s.

NEXT WEEK: The weather should be drier if the GFS verifies; it develops a 500 mb upper high over the Deep South early in the week. This would mean only widely scattered afternoon storms, and hotter afternoons with low 90s possible. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Just a few widely scattered showers and storms today from Panama City to Gulf Shores, but thunderstorms become more likely tomorrow. Later this week and over the weekend, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with a few scattered showers and storms around. Highs will remain in the 80s, and the sea water temperature is generally in the low 80s.

TROPICS: All is quiet across the Atlantic basin for now and tropical storm formation is not expected this week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for frequent updates on the Alabama weather situation through the day…

Active Storms Tonight/Tomorrow

| 3:52 pm June 9, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Pretty quiet as I write this; just a few isolated showers are showing up over West Alabama; we have a mix of sun and clouds with temperatures generally in the low and mid 80s.

TO THE WEST: A tornado watch is in effect for parts of the Mid-South, including the Memphis area, through 7 p.m. An organized batch of storms is moving our way, and these should roll into West Alabama tonight around 8:00 p.m… with the line moving steadily to the east impacting much of North and Central Alabama.

This is the HRRR model valid tonight at 9:00…

hrrr_ref_birmingham_9

The storms could be strong to severe as they enter West Alabama tonight; the main threat will come from hail and strong straight line winds. But, the storms should weaken later tonight as they move into East Alabama and a more stable airmass.

TOMORROW: SPC has most of North and Central Alabama in the standard “slight risk” of severe weather as a dynamic weather system over the Southern Plains gets closer. Storms will form tomorrow afternoon, and those could pack a punch as well with the risk of hail and strong winds. This is not tornado season, and I don’t expect a big issue, but the tornado threat tomorrow is not zero with such good upper air support.

And, in addition to the risk of severe storms, some flooding is certainly possible through the next 60 hours. This is the projected rain through Wednesday evening at 7:00 via the high resolution NAM model, suggest rain amounts of 3 inches possible around here.

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The NWS in Huntsville has issued a flash flood watch for their county warning area up in the Tennessee Valley.

REST OF THE WEEK: We will maintain a good chance of scattered to numerous showers and storms on Wednesday, but they should thin out a big Thursday and Friday as the air aloft becomes a little warm, and the air a little more stable.

OUR WEEKEND: Looks pretty decent… partly sunny days with a few widely scattered showers and storms around Saturday and Sunday afternoon. Highs back into the upper 80s. This drier pattern should hold into early next week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Look for a general increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms through mid-week along the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, but there will be some decent intervals of sunshine along the way. Then, showers become fewer in number by Friday and the weekend with a good supply of sunshine each day. Highs on the immediate coast will remain in the 80s, and the sea water temperatures are mostly in the low 80s now.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Storms To Start The Day

| 6:18 am June 9, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WET START: The unsettled weather pattern continues across Alabama with showers and storms in progress at daybreak in many locations. The storms are not severe by classic definition, but they are producing heavy rain in spots and a good bit of lightning as they move east.

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Showers and storms should die down later this morning, but additional thunderstorm development is possible this afternoon and tonight as a moist, unstable airmass remains over Alabama. The afternoon and evening storms should be rather scattered in nature; the coverage will be really determined by how the morning storms impact the airmass. We don’t expect to get past the mid 80s today.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: We will continue to mention scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, with an upper trough to the west and moist air in place. Impossible to give you start/stop times of the rain for any specific point, but just be ready for a shower or storm at just about any hour. Also, SPC maintains the standard “slight risk” of severe weather for North and West Alabama tomorrow, as the storms will be capable of producing some hail along with strong, gusty winds. Highs will remain in the mid 80s, although a few communities on Wednesday might hold in the 70s all day.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Showers and storms should become more widely spaced on these days as the air aloft becomes warmer, and the becomes a little more stable. The sky will be partly sunny, and highs will be in the mid to upper 80s. Chance of any one spot seeing an afternoon shower or storm will be about one in three.

THE WEEKEND AHEAD: Looks pretty decent. The upper trough axis will be west of the state, and the sky should be partly to mostly sunny Saturday and Sunday with only widely scattered afternoon storms. Highs rise into the upper 80s. This drier pattern should hold into early next week.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny today along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores. Scattered thunderstorms return tomorrow through Thursday; the highest coverage of showers will be on Wednesday, most likely. Then, for Friday and the weekend, about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with only widely scattered showers or storms. Highs will be in the 80s on the immediate coast, and the sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 84 degrees.

TROPICS: All is quiet across the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected this week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Strong Storms This Evening

| 3:25 pm June 5, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today due to ongoing severe weather issues**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH: As you can see from the post below this one, SPC has issued a severe thunderstorm watch for North and East Alabama… generally north of a line from Hamilton to Cullman to Pell City and to Roanoke.

An MCS/derecho is moving into the northwest corner of Alabama as I write this… and SPC has put up a “moderate risk” of severe weather for North Alabama through the evening hours…

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Clearly, storms over the northern third of Alabama tonight will have potential for strong, perhaps damaging straight line winds. Winds gusted to around 70 mph in the Memphis area with this derecho earlier this afternoon with a good bit of damage, and I expect to see tree and power line damage over North Alabama in coming hours as the air is very unstable.

While the highest risk of being impacted by the current derecho is along and north of U.S. 278 (Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden), other scattered storms will form farther to the south, and those could be pretty strong as well. But, it will not rain everywhere across Central Alabama tonight… that is the nature of summer storms in Alabama.

If you are in North Alabama, but sure and pay attention to severe thunderstorm warnings this evening since the potential for high wind is elevated. Straight line winds can produce damage similar to a tornado.

The storms will settle down late tonight as the air becomes more stable.

TOMORROW: We will maintain the chance of showers and storms tomorrow as we remain on the eastern periphery of the upper high centered over Texas; another wave will move down the side of the ridge and bring a few strong storms to the state, but it won’t rain all day, and like today the sun will be out at times. The high tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 80s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Moist, unstable air will persist, and we will go with the standard summer forecast both days. Mixed sun and clouds, and the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Chance of any one spot getting wet both days is about one in three, and the high will be in the 87 to 90 degree range.

Very similar weather will continue next week, and if anything the coverage of the showers and storms will increase as the upper high moves westward away from us.

AT THE BEACH: Looks good from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend, with mostly sunny days and fair nights. Only isolated showers with highs in the 80s. Sea water temperatures are in the 78 to 81 degree range.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Stay tuned to the blog for running updates on the severe weather potential this evening…