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Tag: "storms"

Scattered Showers/Storms Return

| 3:20 pm August 14, 2015

RADAR CHECK: As expected, we have showers and thunderstorms across North/Central Alabama this afternoon in scattered, random locations.

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The storms are drifting to the northwest, and are producing heavy rain and frequent lightning… they will die down later tonight after the sun goes down. Away from the showers, temperatures are close to 90 with a mix of sun and clouds.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Our weather just won’t change much tomorrow and Sunday. Partly sunny with the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. The chance of any one spot getting wet both days is about one in three, and afternoon highs will stay close to 90 degrees. Pretty much the kind of weather your expect in mid-August in Alabama.

NEXT WEEK: A weak upper trough is expected to be in place across the Deep South, so we expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms on a daily basis through the week; the sky will be occasionally cloudy, and highs will be in the 87 to 91 degree range, which is below average for this time of the year. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: The image below was captured this morning at Gulf Shores from @ryonsmith…

AlabamaBeaches_2015-Aug-14

We still project about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily along the coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores over the weekend with the risk of a passing storm from time to time. Highs will remain in the upper 80s on the coast, with low 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are in the mid 80s.

See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: Once again the Atlantic basin is very quiet. A tropical wave is emerging off the coast of Africa, but development is not likely.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted very early Monday morning… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Drier Air Moves In Later Today

| 5:36 am August 11, 2015

RADAR CHECK: We have early morning showers and thunderstorms in progress cross North and Central Alabama ahead of a surface front… these are moving southeast, and are well below severe limits.

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As the front pushes southward, we believe most of the showers and storms will wind up over the southern half of Alabama this afternoon as dry air arrives over the northern counties of the state. Today’s high will be in the low 90s with a mix of sun and clouds.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: No doubt these will be the nicest days of the week, with sunny days, lower humidity, and cooler nights. Highs between 88 and 91, and by Thursday morning some of the cooler pockets across North Alabama will drop to near 60 degrees for a little preview of fall. Any showers will be confined to the far southern part of Alabama.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Moisture levels will slowly rise; we will introduce a small risk of a shower Friday afternoon, and for the weekend, the chance of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”, so typical for a summer day. Days will be partly sunny with afternoon highs pretty close to 90 degrees.

Not much change into next week… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: Yes, you will experience a passing storm from time to time, but the overall picture looks good for the Central Gulf Coast (Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores) through the weekend with about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day. Highs on the immediate coast will hold in the upper 80s, with low to mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are in the low to mid 80s.

See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very, very quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected through the week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last week.

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I will be doing a weather program today at the AIDB Regional Center in Birmingham… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

A Few Storms Tonight; Lower Humidity Wednesday

| 3:31 pm August 10, 2015

RADAR CHECK: Strong storms continue to develop across North Alabama this afternoon… moving east…

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We will maintain the risk of showers and storms tonight into tomorrow morning with the approach of a surface front (we never call them “cold” fronts in August)… some of you might hear some pre-dawn thunder with these storms early tomorrow.

Then, by tomorrow afternoon, the main threat of showers and storms will shift down into South Alabama as the front continues to work southward. The sky becomes partly sunny over the northern counties, with a high in the low 90s.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Dry, continental air will drop down into North and Central Alabama on these days, making it feel very comfortable for August. Highs will be in the 88-91 degree range, humidity levels will be lower, and nights will be cooler. We hit the mid 60s early Thursday, with some of the cooler spots dropping down to near 60. Sunny days, clear nights.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Moisture will begin to return; a few “pop up” afternoon storms are possible Friday, and we will forecast very typical summer weather for Saturday and Sunday. Partly sunny days with the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs over the weekend will be very close to 90 degrees.

We will go with a persistence forecast into early next week; we do note the 12Z GFS shows a closed upper low over New Orleans Monday; no confidence that will actually develop. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: We project about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend, with a passing storm from time to time. Photo below is from Panama City Beach this morning (from @gakawell)

gakawell_2015-Aug-10

Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low to mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the low to mid 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected this week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7” on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Hot And Humid; Afternoon Storms

| 6:31 am August 10, 2015

AT DAYBREAK: It is a warm, humid morning across the great state of Alabama with temperatures generally in the 70s. We do note strong storms northwest of here around Memphis…

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This batch of storms will move into North Alabama later this morning, and will work southward this afternoon. Temperatures will reach the low to mid 90s before the storms arrive, but the rain will cool things down nicely this afternoon.

We should also note SPC has the northern half of the state in a “marginal” severe weather risk for this afternoon and tonight…

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The prime risk from the heavier storms will come from strong straight line winds.

TOMORROW: A surface boundary will push through the state, something that doesn’t happen too much in August. The high resolution NAM model suggests the best chance of storms tomorrow will actually come during the morning hours, with the best chance of rain shifting down into South Alabama by afternoon. It won’t be as hot tomorrow with a high at or just over 90 degrees.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Drier, continental air will cover the northern half of the state on these two days, meaning lots of sunshine, lower humidity, and cooler nights. The high will be close to 90, but early Thursday morning we should drop into the mid 60s, with potential for low 60s in cooler spots.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Moisture levels will creep up again, so a few afternoon and evening thunderstorms could pop up, but they should be widely scattered. Highs will be mostly in the low 90s, right at seasonal averages for mid-August in Alabama.

Not much change into early next week; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Not a bad week on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores. Of course, you will deal with a passing thunderstorm from time to time, otherwise about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily with highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low to mid 90s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 81 degrees.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected this week.

PERSEID METEOR SHOWER: Earth is entering a stream of debris from Comet Swift-Tuttle, source of the annual Perseid meteor shower. Forecasters expect meteor rates to peak at 100+ per hour on the night of Aug. 12-13 when our planet passes through the heart of the debris stream. Perseids produce more fireballs than any other meteor shower of the year. Keep an eye on the night sky.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… watch it on “James Spann 24/7” on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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I will be speaking to the residents at Kirkwood By The River this morning… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Stormy This Evening; Drying Trend Begins Tomorrow

| 3:18 pm August 6, 2015

RADAR CHECK: This has been an unusually wet day for early August in Alabama; parts of the Tennessee Valley region of far North Alabama have received over two inches of rain since midnight, and temperatures are only in the 70s and low 80s in most places due to the clouds and rain.

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The air is rather unstable across Central Alabama, and strong to severe storms remain possible through early tonight. The primary threat will come from strong straight line winds. Showers and storms will diminish late tonight as the short wave axis moves east of the state.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: Our weather will trend drier and hotter. A few widely scattered storms are still possible tomorrow, especially south of I-20, but Saturday and Sunday look mostly rain-free with only isolated afternoon storms. We project a high in the low 90s tomorrow, and mid 90s over the weekend. A few spots over West Alabama will probably see upper 90s Sunday afternoon.

NEXT WEEK: Scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are possible Monday through Wednesday with a low in the low 90s on these three days; some chance drier air works down into North Alabama by the end of the week. If this happens, we could see one or two mornings with lows in the low 60s, or even upper 50s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Gulf Shores west to Panama City Beach through the weekend with a passing storm from time to time. Highs on the coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICAL SEASON UPDATE: The National Hurricane Center updated their 2015 Atlantic basin hurricane season outlook today, suggesting it might be one of the slowest on record due to the current El Nino cycle.

NHC_Atlantic_2015-Aug-06

Tropical storm formation in the Atlantic basin is not expected at least through the weekend.

Over in the western Pacific, Typhoon Soudelor is nearing Taiwan with sustained winds of 100 mph and torrential rain. Some strengthening is likely before it reaches the island tomorrow.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Wet/Stormy Day Ahead

| 6:34 am August 6, 2015

RADAR CHECK: A number of showers and thunderstorms are in progress early this morning across the northern half of Alabama. Not severe, but producing heavy rain in spots…

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A short wave trough in the upper atmosphere will provide good dynamic support for more showers and storms later today, and some of them could be pretty strong. SPC now has much of North/Central Alabama in the standard “slight risk” of severe weather for this afternoon…

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The heavier storms could produce strong, gusty winds and heavy rain. Some flooding issues are not out of the question; our in house mesoscale model (RPM) suggests a few spots could see over two inches of rain.

On the positive side, we won’t get out of the 80s today because of clouds and showers.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: The weather trends hotter and drier. While a passing shower or storm is still possible tomorrow afternoon, many communities will be dry as temperatures rise into the low 90s. Then, Saturday and Sunday are looking mostly rain-free. Expect a good supply of sunshine both days with afternoon highs up in the mid 90s. The chance of rain over the weekend is not zero, but any showers and storms will be very isolated.

NEXT WEEK: Confidence is not especially high with inconsistent model output, but we do expect an increase in the number of showers and storms early in the week as a surface front approaches from the north. The latest GFS run (06Z) hints the front could push into South Alabama by Wednesday, with drier air over the northern counties of the state. We all know fronts don’t make it that far south too often in August; for now we will keep the risk of scattered storms in the forecast through mid-week and make adjustments as needed. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through the weekend with a passing storm from time to time. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s just a few miles inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 82 degrees.

See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, but over in the western Pacific Typhoon Soudelor is nearing Taiwan with sustained winds of 100 mph and torrential rain. Some strengthening is likely before it reaches the island tomorrow.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!