The 12Z model set confirms our revised forecast from early this morning… PLACEMENT: The greatest risk of freezing rain and bridge/road icing tomorrow morning will be north of a line from Vernon to Jasper to Oxford. This boundary between a cold rain and freezing rain is the hardest part of the forecast; it could change […]
I will have a more detailed discussion early this afternoon, but a quick note that the new model runs (12Z) confirm the forecast change. Best chance of freezing rain will be north of the Birmingham metro… Main threat of freezing rain will be north of a line from Vernon to Warrior to Jacksonville. Most of […]
Brian will be along shortly with a new Weather Xtreme video; this is a look at the winter storm potential for North Alabama tomorrow… MODELS TREND WARMER: Bad news for snow lovers in Alabama, but good news for those that don’t like ice storms (and I really don’t know anyone who does). There has been […]
Just a few notes; my next full discussion will be posted around 6:00 a.m. tomorrow. *The new 00Z model data is rolling in. The NAM has come in a bit warmer, suggesting the freeze line will be north of Birmingham Monday morning as precipitation moves in. Let me caution you that at this phase of […]
Here some some quick notes this evening on the potential for a winter storm across Alabama Monday. PRECIPITATION TYPE/ACCUMULATION: Main chance of snow will come over the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama, where 2 to 4 inches are possible in spots. To the south, freezing rain and sleet are likely for places like Birmingham, […]
That is always a difficult question to answer during any winter storm, but I think this model graphic is on target… from the high resolution NAM model… Mostly freezing rain/ice for Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Gadsden… best chance of snow north of the Tennessee River. Icy/very dangerous travel possible after midnight tomorrow night into Monday north […]
The new 12Z model runs are in… The trend is toward more freezing rain and sleet over North Alabama with less snow. But, understand this is just one set of model data, and you don’t make big changes. GFS: You can see the trend toward more freezing rain… NAM: Again, freezing rain and sleet is […]
This post concerns potential for ice accumulation across North/Central Alabama late Sunday night and Monday morning. See this post for a detailed overview of the entire winter storm event that will impact Alabama. The new morning run of the NAM model suggests potential ice accumulation of 0.35″ to 0.40″ at Birmingham between midnight tomorrow night […]
An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here. SNOW FADES WITH THE SUN: A strong February sun has melted most of the snow across North Alabama this […]
Important points for the rest of today and tonight… *Travel/driving conditions will deteriorate between now and 4 p.m. As colder air moves in from the east, and dynamic cooling brings colder air down from aloft. I would not advise travel past 4 p.m. if at all possible across North-Central Alabama. *Rain will change to snow […]
A few notes… we can clearly now see the deformation axis, which will coincide with the band of heavier snow, setting over Central MS… this rotate into North Alabama this afternoon and early tonight. Snow forecast amounts will need to be ramped up a bit in the winter storm warning area. New update out soon, […]
**I will begin producing the Weather Xtreme video tomorrow; holding production again today so we can get text products out quickly and do social media response** MAJOR WINTER STORM TO IMPACT ALABAMA: The forecast is on track from yesterday, and there is no real need for much modification today. A cold rain has been falling […]
*The storm system that is moving into Alabama is very dynamic. Good upper support, high moisture, and cold air damming that will bring in the cold air from the east. Radar is lighting up like a Christmas tree west of our state tonight over Mississippi, southern Arkansas, Louisiana, and East Texas. Note the wind max […]
Get ready for “phase two” of the dual barrel winter storm impacting the southern U.S. Winter storm warnings are up for much of North and East Alabama late tonight and tomorrow… The highest impact of this second phase will be east of a line from Hamilton to Birmingham to Lafayette. SNOW: Heaviest snow in Alabama […]
Our long time friend, mentor, and charter Weather Factory member, J.B. Elliott, passed away on May 11, 2015. Click HERE to read James' tribute.
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