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Author Archive: MesoScale Discussion

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

| June 23, 2019 @ 4:59 pm

A severe threat may extend downstream of WW 433 from parts of western/central KY into middle TN, far northwest AL, northern and central MS and perhaps far southern AR/northern LA. Trends will be monitored but one or more additional watches may be needed in the next 1-2 hours.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| June 22, 2019 @ 5:50 pm

An isolated threat for damaging wind and hail will persist for the next couple of hours, though a WW issuance probably will not be needed.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

| June 22, 2019 @ 1:56 pm

Thunderstorms should increase in intensity this afternoon with a risk primarily for damaging winds. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is possible prior to 3 pm CDT/20Z.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 422…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 422…

| June 22, 2019 @ 12:01 am

Sporadic strong wind gusts will continue in and near WW 422 the next few hours.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely

| June 21, 2019 @ 9:03 pm

Damaging wind potential will likely persist into the overnight hours and a downstream severe thunderstorm watch is likely to the south/southeast of WW 419.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 418… 419…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 418… 419…

| June 21, 2019 @ 7:59 pm

Damaging wind gusts will continue across portions of southeast KY into western, middle and parts of eastern TN this evening. The threat should increase across parts of northern MS/AL later tonight as the bow echo develops south/southeast over the next several hours.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 418…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 418…

| June 21, 2019 @ 5:15 pm

A damaging bow echo will continue to shift east/southeast this evening. A new severe thunderstorm watch will be needed across parts of northeast AR into TN, perhaps replacing portions of WW 418.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 408… 409… 410…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 408… 409… 410…

| June 20, 2019 @ 6:17 pm

The severe threat continues to shift quickly eastward across portions of North Carolina and South Carolina, while shifting more slowly southward across southern Georgia/southeastern Alabama.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely

| June 20, 2019 @ 11:03 am

Thunderstorms are expected to develop by 17-18Z over a large part of the Southeast U.S. and increase in coverage and intensity during the afternoon, posing a risk for damaging wind and hail. A WW will probably be needed for a portion of this region by 17Z.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 406…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 406…

| June 20, 2019 @ 2:34 am

Strong/gusty winds producing occasional damage should continue across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 406.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Severe Thunderstorm Watch Likely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Severe Thunderstorm Watch Likely

| June 19, 2019 @ 9:59 pm

A bow echo over southeastern AR is rapidly moving east at 55kt and will exit severe thunderstorm watch 405 around 11pm CDT. A new severe thunderstorm watch will be needed for MS, parts of western TN, and into northwest and north-central portions of AL.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

| June 19, 2019 @ 12:36 pm

A further increase in thunderstorm intensity and organization appears possible through 3-5 PM CDT. This may be accompanied by an increase in severe weather potential which could require a watch within the next couple of hours.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| June 18, 2019 @ 9:45 am

Local risk for marginal hail, and a few damaging wind gusts, will continue across portions of the central Gulf Coast region late this morning and into this afternoon. Risk should remain isolated, with WW issuance not anticipated at this time.

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