SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely
Damaging wind potential will likely persist into the overnight hours and a downstream severe thunderstorm watch is likely to the south/southeast of WW 419.
Author Archive: MesoScale Discussion
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 418… 419…
Damaging wind gusts will continue across portions of southeast KY into western, middle and parts of eastern TN this evening. The threat should increase across parts of northern MS/AL later tonight as the bow echo develops south/southeast over the next several hours.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 418…
A damaging bow echo will continue to shift east/southeast this evening. A new severe thunderstorm watch will be needed across parts of northeast AR into TN, perhaps replacing portions of WW 418.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 408… 409… 410…
The severe threat continues to shift quickly eastward across portions of North Carolina and South Carolina, while shifting more slowly southward across southern Georgia/southeastern Alabama.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Likely
Thunderstorms are expected to develop by 17-18Z over a large part of the Southeast U.S. and increase in coverage and intensity during the afternoon, posing a risk for damaging wind and hail. A WW will probably be needed for a portion of this region by 17Z.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 406…
Strong/gusty winds producing occasional damage should continue across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 406.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Severe Thunderstorm Watch Likely
A bow echo over southeastern AR is rapidly moving east at 55kt and will exit severe thunderstorm watch 405 around 11pm CDT. A new severe thunderstorm watch will be needed for MS, parts of western TN, and into northwest and north-central portions of AL.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
A further increase in thunderstorm intensity and organization appears possible through 3-5 PM CDT. This may be accompanied by an increase in severe weather potential which could require a watch within the next couple of hours.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Local risk for marginal hail, and a few damaging wind gusts, will continue across portions of the central Gulf Coast region late this morning and into this afternoon. Risk should remain isolated, with WW issuance not anticipated at this time.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Clusters of strong thunderstorms will affect much of MS this afternoon, with gusty or locally damaging winds in the strongest cells. Coverage of severe storms is not expected to warrant a watch at this time.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Isolated damaging wind gusts are possible as thunderstorm coverage increases this afternoon.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Thunderstorm clusters will continue to pose a threat of locally damaging wind into the early evening.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible
Linear segments will continue to move eastward across the area during the early afternoon hours. Some of the stronger segments will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts. Convective trends will continue to be monitored for the possibility of a WW issuance.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Bowing segment, capable of isolated damaging wind gusts, may continue for a few more hours. The sparse nature of the damaging wind threat suggests that a WW issuance is not likely at this time.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely
Transient supercells will be capable of intermittent strengthening of low-level mesocyclones with the strongest updrafts. A brief/weak tornado is possible this evening. The isolated character and magnitude of the threat will probably preclude the need for a small tornado watch.
SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 335…
Threat for water-loaded downbursts and brief tornadoes will continue across southern AL/MS and the western/central FL Panhandle for the next few hours.
