Idalia Now a Category Four
Eyewall replacement has begun. The strengthening trend may level off now.
Eyewall replacement has begun. The strengthening trend may level off now.
Idalia is nearly a category four now…
The new forecast from the NHC is now calling for 130 mph before landfall, which would make it a powerful category four hurricane.
Idalia is still expected to become a major hurricane tonight before landfall early Wednesday.
Deep convection is firing around what appears to be a pretty well developed eyeway in Idalia now. Further intensification is likely right up til landfall.
The NHC has raised the max surge values near and to the right of the landfall point with the maximum somewhere between the mouth of the Aucilla River, FL to Yankeetown, FL…10-15 ft
The center of the hurricane is 200 miles west of Key West.
Idalia became better organized overnight and became a hurricane. That trend continues this morning and rapid intensification is expected today and tonight before a Wednesday morning landfall.
Today, Cedar Key, Florida is a resort and artists colony and fishing village. There has not been a major hurricane there since Easy in 1950. But it has a devastating hurricane history beforee that.
The island nation will experience a minor impact with wind gusts to 35-40 mph.
Idalia is forecast to move into an area that is highly susceptible to storm surge, and regardless of the cyclone’s specific landfall intensity, there is increasing confidence that a significant storm surge event will occur.
Franklin remains a powerful category four hurricane this afternoon over the west Atlantic about 500 miles SW of Bermuda moving to the north at 8 mph.
A NOAA plane is Enroute from Miami and an Air Force plane is Eneoute from St. Croix. Ehe. They are on station, we will have a better idea of whether the intensity is catching up with the satellite presentation. The GIV mission high altitude mission is working its way southward across the Gulf. Its data will help inform the 0zz runs of the model tonight.
Mother Nature is throwing everything and the kitchen sink at Southern California now…