The NWS has cleared Pickens County from the tornado watch.
The tornado watch continues for Greene, Hale, Marengo and Sumter Counties till 9:00 AM CST.
The main line of storms extends from Moulton to just west of Jasper to northeastern Tuscaloosa County.
South and east of that, showers and storms have become more separated and discrete. THere are storms over western Jefferson County from Bessemer northeast to the Graysville area.
They are more intense from Eutaw to Livingston into Southwest Alabama. These storms have lots of lightning in them and are in the tornado watch area.
RADAR CHECK: Widespread rain is over West Alabama this morning, and moving eastward slowly…
As forecast, we had strong pressure gradient winds across the state during the night; winds gusted to 35 mph in spots, and there were a few downed trees and power outages. The winds will die down this morning as the rain begins.
We have a tornado watch for parts of West and Southwest Alabama until 9:00…
However, there is no surface based instability over the northern half of Alabama, and any severe weather this morning will be over the southern counties. SPC maintains the standard “slight risk” of severe weather today for the area from Mobile over to Dothan, with a “marginal risk” up to Montgomery.
Rain amounts of around 2 inches are likely today, not enough for widespread flash flooding, although a few localized issues are possible. The rain will end from west to east late this afternoon and early tonight as dry air takes over. And, temperatures will fall through the 60s today; the high will be reached early this morning for most places.
TOMORROW/FRIDAY: Very nice fall weather with a good supply of sunshine both days; highs in the 60s, lows in the 40s. Right at seasonal averages for mid to late November in Alabama.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A cold front will move through Alabama Saturday; the air will be very dry, and for now we won’t mention any risk of showers. The sky will be partly sunny, winds will increase out of the north, and the high will be close to 60 degrees.
Sunday begins with a freeze; the low will be in the 28 to 32 degree range… then the day will feature a sunny sky with a high only in the low 50s.
THANKSGIVING WEEK: Expect another freeze early Monday morning with lows in the mid to upper 20s. Then, dry weather continues Monday through Wednesday with mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only a slow warming trend. Afternoon highs will be mostly in the 50s.
Forecast confidence is low for Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday; some global runs have suggested these two days could be wet in Alabama, but others keep the rain just north and west of here. We will have better clarity in coming days, and it is way too early to forecast Iron Bowl weather. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: Perfect weather for the high school playoff games Friday night; clear with temperatures falling through the 50s, perhaps reaching the 40s by the fourth quarter. No risk of rain.
Alabama hosts Charleston Southern Saturday (3:00p CT kickoff) at Bryant-Denny Stadium; the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling from around 60 degrees at the start of the game, into the upper 40s by the final whistle.
Auburn will host Idaho at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday (also kicking off at 3:00 CT)… a fair sky with 60 degrees at kickoff, and temperatures close to 50 degrees by the end of the game.
AT THE BEACH: Rain and strong storms are likely today, then expect mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through the weekend. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…
I will be doing a weather program this morning at Striplin Elementary in Gadsden… then I will be on the Good Morning America 40 hour marathon (for their 40th anniversary) early this afternoon with Ginger Zee. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day and stay dry!
A line of thunderstorms and heavy rain ahead of a cold front has pushed into western Alabama early this morning. The leading edge extends from Russellville to Winfield to Belk to Gordo to Union to Gainesville.
There is lots of heavy rain, some gusty winds and a significant amount of lightning with the storms. The heaviest lightning is over northern Lamar and Marion Counties, associated with a mesoscale convective vortex. This comma head shaped feature will move northeast across Lamar, Fayette, Marion and into Winston Counties over the next couple of hours. There is a chance of damaging winds and even an isolated small spin up tornado with this feature.
The line of storms is pushing east at 15 mph and will affect Marion, Lamar, Pickens and Sumter Counties over the next hour.
Several hours of rain continues behind the leading edge storms. Already well over 2.25 inches of rain in Starkville from the system and there is flooding in the City of Meridian. Here in Alabama, the amount of rain that it would take to cause flash flooding is fairly high so we should escape widespread flooding problems. But that doesn’t mean we won’t see some flooding today as 2-4 inches of rain falls.
There is an amazing amount of Gulf moisture being pulled northward into the Southeast by the powerful upper level system, which is centered over Oklahoma and Texas this morning and a weakening surface low, which is over Iowa.
A tornado watch remains in effect until 9 a.m. CST for southern portion of West Alabama, as far north as Pickens, Sumter, Greene and Hale Counties.
Heavier rain is moving through far West Alabama early this morning…
The severe thunderstorm warning issued earlier for Pickens County has expired, and no additional warnings are expected over the northern half of Alabama. The core threat of severe storms will be over the southern quarter of the state.
Rain amounts of around 2 inches are likely. A new Weather Xtreme video and discussion will be posted shortly…
The line of storms is into West Alabama’s Marion, Lamar, Pickens and Sumter Counties.
The system has a comma head near Tupelo MS indicating some type of mesoscale convective vortex. The storms associated with this feature produced a tornado warning for Monroe County MS earlier. No reports of damage were received.
There is also a kink in the line northwest of Aliceville. This kink is strongly indicative of damaging winds. An isolated spinup tornado is not out of the question as well.
This part of the line is moving north northeast into an area characterized by extremely high low level shear. Helicity, or spin, inthe atmosphere in the surface to 1 km layer is up to 650 m2/s2 over Marion and Lamar Counties. Followers of the blog will know that those values are about as high as we see in Alabama severe weather.
Fortunately, it is just at the very apex of a small sliver of instability, but any thunderstorm updrafts that tap it will have a tremendous amount of spin to draw from. There is a good bit of lightning associated with the storms from Marion down through Pickens Counties, so we know there are decent updrafts there that can do just that.
Aliceville, Carrollton and Reform are in the path of the feature.
Be in a safe place as these dangerous storms approach.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
PICKENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
NORTH CENTRAL SUMTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
* UNTIL 515 AM CST
* AT 427 AM CST…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER
COOKSVILLE…OR 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALICEVILLE…MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 50 MPH.
HAZARD…60-65 MPH WIND GUSTS.
IMPACT…EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
MCMULLEN…BEVILL LOCK AND DAM…JOHNSTON LAKE…GARDEN…PANOLA…
GAINESVILLE LAKE CAMPGROUND…GEORGE DOWNER AIRPORT…PINE GROVE…
NORTH PICKENS AIRPORT…COCHRANE…MCSHAN…FOREST…SHAW…
DILLBURG AND OWENS.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 551 IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA
GREENE HALE MARENGO
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…ALICEVILLE…CARROLLTON…
MOUNDVILLE AND YORK.