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Shower? Is That You?

| 5:20 pm May 10, 2015

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We see something on the radar this afternoon that we haven’t seen in a while: showers.

They appeared over Northeast Alabama’s Cherokee and Cleburne Counties before 5 p.m. peaking quickly in intensity but quickly going downhill as they rain themselves out.

The showers formed in an area of higher moisture over that part of the state.

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Is This June?

| 2:51 pm May 10, 2015

Happy Mother’s Day!

Early season warmth continues on this 2015 edition of Mother’s Day. Temperatures are near 90F in the I-20 corridor with lower 90s common over South Alabama. These readings are some 10-12 degrees above normal, feeling more like late June than early May.

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To the east, the tropical depression that is the remnant of Tropical Storm Ana is pushing into North Carolina after making landfall between Myrtle Beach and North Myrtle Beach around 6 a.m.

Back here in Alabama, skies are partly cloudy with lots of cumulus clouds as moisture levels continue to slowly rise. Dewpoints are in the lower 60s for the most part, with a few middle 60s over eastern sections. Southeasterly winds are increasing the moisture.

To the west, we can see showers and storms over Texas, Oklahoma and Arkansas ahead of our western trough This is the same system that has brought days of severe weather to the Plains. Today is no exception, with a tornadic supercell crossing the northern part of the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex. A tornado crossed the Denton area a few minutes ago and is threatening the town of Aubrey now. Fortunately, damage around Denton was relatively minor, but the storm’s circulation is tightening again as it crosses the warm front.

This activity will once again weaken tonight, as in past days. But the responsible system will begin to lift out to the northeast by tomorrow, pushing a cold front our way. This will trigger a line of showers and storms that will push southeast on Monday. Showers and storms should reach western Alabama by late afternoon but the system will be weakening with storms along the line becoming more scattered.

The SPC has areas northwest of I-59 in their standard slight risk outlook for tomorrow. Damaging winds and hail will be threat.

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Another Summer-like Day

| 7:01 am May 10, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player above. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Alabama remained essentially between systems. To our east, Tropical Storm Ana made landfall early this morning in the vicinity and slightly north of Myrtle Beach, SC. The first tropical storm of the 2015 season should gradually dissipate into a depression as it turns north and northeastward today and tonight. Weather conditions over the Carolinas will gradually improve as the remnants of Ana move away from the area tonight and Monday.

To our west, the closed low that has been spinning in the vicinity of the Four Corners area of the Southwest US is beginning to lift north and northeast with the system opening up as it does. By late Monday and into Tuesday, that system should be located over the Great Lakes with a front trailing down and across the Southeast US. This front should bring the best chances for scattered thunderstorms to the area Monday and early Tuesday. The SPC has the standard risk of severe storms entering the northwest corner of Alabama late in Day 2, Monday into early Tuesday. With the best dynamics to this system well north of Alabama along with the overall general weakening trend, the severe weather threat for Central Alabama appears to be low at this time. But it is May, so this will continue to bear watching.

The front will move south of us Tuesday and that paves the way for cooler and drier air to bring a very nice day to Central Alabama on Wednesday. With the front to our south and moving back this way along with general ridging in the upper atmosphere, the atmosphere will moisten up for the end of the week and into next weekend with the need to mention the possibility of showers each day as we go into the weekend with a summer-like pattern with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s.

For those headed to the beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida, expect mostly sunny days and fair nights into Monday. Highs will be in the upper 70s on the immediate coast, with upper 80s inland. The rest of next week, expect only widely scattered showers and storms, and a decent amount of sun each day. Water temps are climbing, and the water temperature at Perdido Pass at Orange Beach, was close to 80 degrees.

Looking out into voodoo country, the overall pattern of ridging across the southern tier of the US with the westerlies fairly far north should bring a summer-isn pattern with daily chances of showers along with warm weather with highs mainly in the 80s as we push 90 degree highs once again.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

Great time emceeing the Buck Creek Festival in Helena over the weekend with great weather, fabulous music, and some really great crowds in the park. Happy Mothers Day. James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning. Enjoy your Sunday, and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Mainly Sunny & Very Warm

| 1:49 pm May 9, 2015

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Most locations are seeing mainly sunny conditions this afternoon, but there have been a few blips on the radar in northern Mississippi and these light showers may be able to work their way into extreme north and northwestern Alabama this afternoon. Nearly all of us stay dry today, be there is a slight chance of an isolated shower. We continue to be under a ridge that is allowing our temps to warm into the upper 80s and lower 90s this afternoon. This is certainly the warmest weekend of weather thus far in 2015.

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Now to the east, Tropical Storm Ana is now fully tropical as opposed to her sub-tropical characteristics of the last few days. The latest update from the NHC at 100 PM CDT has the center of Tropical Storm Ana located near latitude 32.7 North, longitude 78.1 West. Ana is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph. A turn toward the north and north-northeast with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center will be very near the coasts of South and North Carolina by tomorrow morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast as Ana moves over cooler waters close to the coastline overnight. A more rapid rate of weakening will begin after the center crosses the coast. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb or 29.56 inches.

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For tomorrow, Mother’s Day will be a terrific day for mom to relax in the air conditioning. We will see another day with a mix of sun and clouds, and after starting the day in the mid to upper 60s, look for a near repeat of today for afternoon highs. We are forecasting highs tomorrow afternoon to climb back into the upper 80s and lower 90s across the state and no rain is expected.

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Summer-like Weather for Your Weekend

| 7:05 am May 9, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player above. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Look for a summer-like weekend across Central Alabama as we remain between two weather systems. Some high cirrus clouds from the convection to our west was traversing the Central Alabama sky this morning, but we should see a mostly sunny day with highs once again coming in near 90.

Showers may edge a little closer especially for extreme North Alabama on Sunday, but much of the area will remain dry and warm with highs again close to 90.

Little bit of a change coming late Monday and Tuesday as a cold front moves into and across Central Alabama. The combination of more clouds along with scattered showers should help to bring temperatures down a tad. It looks like the front will come through the area by Wednesday giving us a bit of a cooler day. But the front will be wavering in the area, so it looks like a pattern with some small daily chances for showers will set up for the latter part of the upcoming week. Highs will be mainly in the 80s after Wednesday.

SPC does outlook the standard slight risk for severe storms to our west and northwest on Day 3, Monday into Tuesday. But with the upper level dynamics well to our north it looks like the threat for severe weather in Central Alabama will be decreasing, but it will bear watching.

To our east, Ana is slowly moving toward the Carolina coastal area where North and South Carolina meet. NHC notes that Ana has probably made the transition to a tropical storm with a warm core and maximum sustained wind estimated at 60 mph. Tropical Storm warnings were posted along that portion of the coast from South Santee, SC, to Cape Lookout, NC. Ana is expected to come ashore Sunday morning and gradually dissipate into a depression with rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches along the coast.

Looking out into voodoo country, the GFS for week 2 shows a ridge over much of the eastern half of the country with a summer-like look which suggests warm weather with some daily chances for scattered showers.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

Busy day emceeing the music at the Buck Creek Festival in Helena at the Amphitheater Park. Be sure to come out to enjoy the food, music, and crafts under the trees along the banks of Buck Creek. I plan to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted Sunday morning, perhaps a little later than usual due to the festival events today. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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The Heat Cranks Up

| 3:22 pm May 8, 2015

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; I am live at the Buck Creek Festival in Helena on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00**

SUMMER PREVIEW: With a sunny sky today, temperatures are generally in the upper 80s, we still project highs in the 87 to 90 degree range over the weekend. We should mention here the last time Birmingham reached 90 degrees was September 21 of last year. The upper ridge should keep us generally dry, with only a slight risk of an afternoon shower Sunday over far North Alabama across the Tennessee Valley.

EYES ON ANA: Subtropical storm Ana is packing sustained winds of 45 mph, and should move into the South Carolina coast near Myrtle Beach Sunday. This will bring breezy and unsettled weather conditions to the coast of the Carolinas over the weekend, but no impact on the weather in Alabama.

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TO THE WEST: Severe storms remain possible tonight and tomorrow across the Southern Plains, with the highest severe probabilities from North Texas to Kansas. Storms in this region could produce large hail, damaging wind, and a few tornadoes.

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NEXT WEEK: A surface front will bring a chance of showers to the state Monday night and Tuesday; the main dynamic support will be well to the north, so no severe weather is expected, and rain amounts probably won’t be all that heavy. Wednesday looks mostly dry for the northern half of the state, and then we will mention some risk of scattered showers Thursday and Friday. Highs will be generally in the 80s.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect mostly sunny days and fair nights through Monday from Panama City over to Gulf Shores; highs will be in the upper 70s on the immediate coast, with 80s inland. The rest of next week, the following weekend (May 16-17) looks quiet with only widely scattered showers and storms, and a decent amount of sun each day. Great weather for the Hangout Music Festival.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the my next Weather Xtreme video here Monday morning by 7:00 a.m…. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

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Summer-Like Weather Continues

| 6:28 am May 8, 2015

HOT MAY WEEKEND: Alabama’s weather won’t change much today and over the weekend; temperatures about ten degrees above average with few, if any showers. Afternoon highs will be in the 87 to 90 degree range, with partly to mostly sunny days and fair nights. If any showers show up over the weekend, the best chance will be Sunday afternoon over far north Alabama, around the Tennessee Valley. The chance of rain is so small for the rest of the state we won’t mention it in our formal forecast as the upper ridge holds over the region.

TO THE WEST: Two significant severe weather days are possible across the Southern Plains today and tomorrow; the most active day will most likely come tomorrow when a few violent, long track tornadoes are possible over parts of Oklahoma and Kansas, especially the western half of those states.

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TO THE EAST: Subtropical storm Ana developed last night off the South Carolina coast; it is packing sustained winds of 45 mph morning. The system is rather disorganized, and is not a classic warm core tropical storm. There is very little motion now, but it should drift toward the South Carolina coast around Myrtle Beach over the weekend; breezy and showery conditions are likely along the coast of the Carolinas over the next few days. This will have no impact on Alabama.

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NEXT WEEK: A surface front will bring a chance of showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms, to Alabama Monday night and Tuesday. With the upper support lifting well to the north of Alabama, severe weather is not expected, and rain amounts won’t be all that heavy.

The front will stall out somewhere over Central Alabama Tuesday night; drier air could slip in here Wednesday, but moisture comes back Thursday and Friday with a chance of showers both days, but nothing too heavy or really organized. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days, fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through early next week with highs on the immediate coast in the upper 70s, and 80s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 76 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking to a group of senior adults this morning at Sumiton, and then later I will be at Children’s of Alabama in Birmingham. Later today I will be live at the Buck Creek Festival in Helena on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00…. I will post a new Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon if time allows. Enjoy the day!

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Ana Being Named at 10 p.m.

| 9:21 pm May 7, 2015

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The NHC will name assign the name Ana to Invest 90L off the coast of South Carolina at 10 p.m. CDT.

The maximum winds measured by the stepped frequency microwave radiometer on the Air Force plane was 45 mph. The central pressure was 104 mb.

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The storm is still a hybrid storm, with subtropical and tropical characteristics. The center is slightly warmer than the surrounding part of the storm. But winds are strongest well away from the center. Some of the strongest winds are very close to the South Carolina coast.

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