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Heat Levels Slowly Backing Down

| 6:18 am July 21, 2015

WARM SUMMER MORNING: Birmingham reports 80 degrees at daybreak with a dew point of 75… must be the middle of summer in Alabama. Birmingham’s official high yesterday was 98; Tuscaloosa peaked at 100 degrees… we project a high in the mid 90s today with a mix of sun and clouds. And, during the heat of the day, scattered storms will develop again this afternoon. Best chance of a passing storm will come from 2:00 p.m. until 8:00 p.m. Pretty classic late July weather.

REST OF THE WEEK: The heat ridge is weakening across the Deep South, this will open the door for scattered showers and thunderstorms to become more numerous tomorrow and Thursday. And, accordingly, heat levels will come down with the high close to 90 on both days; some communities would hold in the 80s. We also note that SPC has much of Central Alabama in a “marginal” severe weather risk both days, so storms that form could produce strong gusty winds, and maybe a wet microburst or two (local areas of high wind, enough to knock down trees and power lines).

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Scattered showers and storms remain likely Friday with a partly sunny sky, but they should begin to thin out a bit with a high back up in the low to mid 90s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The ridge rebuilds, so heat levels will rise, and the coverage of scattered showers and storms will decrease Saturday and Sunday. Highs in the mid 90s both days with hazy sunshine and widely scattered storms both afternoons.

Similar weather early next week… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: Looking good through the weekend along the coast from Gulf Shores east to Panama City Beach; about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily with the risk of a passing thunderstorm from time to time. Highs on the immediate coast in the upper 80s, with mid 90s just a few miles inland. Sea water temperatures are in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: The classic El Nino pattern continues; very quiet in the Atlantic basin and tropical storm formation is not expected this week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I will be speaking at the Hoover Newcomers Club today at the Hoover Country Club… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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WeatherBrains 495: Smoking Bedbugs

| 6:17 am July 21, 2015

WeatherBrains Episode 495 is now online (July 20, 2015). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is a long time, renowned storm chaser, father of three brilliant children, husband to an amazing wife, erstwhile stand-up comedian, and contemporaneous Assistant Professor of Internal Medicine. He worked at Mayo Clinic in Jacksonville, Florida, until December, 2011, until returning to the Plains with an appointment at the University of Colorado in January, 2012 where he is an Assistant Professor of Medicine at the University of Colorado. Dr. Jason Persoff, welcome to WeatherBrains.

Tonight’s Guest Panelist, Troy Kimmel , started doing tv weather back in 1978 in Bryan/College Station before moving to Austin when he graduated from Texas A&M. He was the Chief at KTBC and KEYE. He was the Chief at a group of radio stations in Austin. He has been teaching at the University of Texas since 1988 where he was promoted to Senior Lecturer in 2007.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Issues related to storm chasing
  • 2011 Joplin tornado aftermath
  • Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
  • Hot weather nationwide
  • and more!

Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

From The Weather Center:

WeatherBrains 101: Professor Peters is taking a few weeks off but will return soon!

Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 495:

Jason Persoff Website

Troy Kimmel Website

Full Troy Kimmel biography

To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

Picks of the Week:

Rick Smith – Bad Weather Words

Troy Kimmel – Cliff Mass Weather Blog

Jason Persoff – Grand Theft Auto V Weather

Bill Murray – NWS Enhanced Data Display

Nate Johnson – 46th anniversary of the moon landing

John Scala – Insurance release on weather losses

James Spann – Important Message from Children’s Hospital

Aubrey Urbanowicz – Waterspouts over Chesapeake Bay

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Audible.com graphic

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Heat Levels Slowly Dropping In Coming Days

| 3:37 pm July 20, 2015

RADAR CHECK: Scattered storms are over far Northeast Alabama this afternoon, and from near Montgomery south. The central counties are mostly hot and dry, although a shower or storm could form at any time through the evening…

Screen Shot 2015-07-20 at 3.25.59 PM

As I write this, the NWS in Mobile issued a severe thunderstorm warning for Central Baldwin County for a big storm just north of I-10 near Loxley.

Birmingham has reached 97 degrees… we note the last time we saw 100 (Birmingham) was back on August 23, 2013. Unlikely we see it for the rest of July, and hopefully for the rest of the summer, but we have a long way to go before fall arrives.

REST OF THE WEEK: The center of the heat ridge will drift westward, and with lower heights and cooler air aloft, the door will be open for a better coverage of showers and storms on a daily basis, along with lower heat levels. Highs will drop mostly in the low 90s tomorrow through Friday, and we might have a day when we don’t get out of the 80s if showers form early enough.

Understand it won’t rain everywhere each day, but there is a pretty good chance any one spot will see at least one or two decent downpours tomorrow through Friday. Away from the storms, the sky will be partly sunny, and humidity levels will stay high.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The last weekend of July looks classic, with partly sunny days, fair nights, and the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs will be in the 93-96 degree range.

And, similar weather into early next week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily through the upcoming weekend, with the usual risk of a passing storm from time to time. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are in the mid 80s. Below is a look at Destin earlier today from @bamabobblehead

BamaBobblehead_2015-Jul-20

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Sun, Heat, Storms

| 6:31 am July 20, 2015

HOT SUMMER DAYS: Today will be the 14th consecutive day with a high of 90 degrees or higher for Birmingham… our last day below 90 was July 6 with the high was 85. Over the weekend, the Birmingham reached 98 degrees Saturday; that is the hottest temperature so far this summer.

Today will be another hot one, with upper 90s likely in many places… some West Alabama communities could touch 100 degrees. And, a few storms will fire up during the heat of the day in widely scattered spots. Typical summer weather… read this essay to learn more about how summer weather forecasts work if you are new.

REST OF THE WEEK: The overall idea is that the heat ridge across the Deep South will weaken a bit, the air aloft will be a bit cooler, and there should be a general increase in the number of scattered showers and storms each day, with lower heat levels. Still, it won’t rain everywhere each day, but your chance getting wet will be higher through mid-week. Interesting to note some GFS runs keep us in the 80s Wednesday.

THE WEEKEND: The ridge grows a little stronger, and we will broad brush the weekend forecast with the usual summer elements. Hot, hazy, humid, a few afternoon storms in scattered spots. Highs in the 90s.

NEXT WEEK: Not much change; typical dog day weather continues. Trying to identify small changes in thunderstorm coverage and placement is very hard to do days in advance since very subtle upper air features can make a big difference in observed weather. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Routine summer weather on the coast this week from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores… about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day, with the usual risk of a passing storm from time to time. The image below was captured yesterday at Orange Beach by Anthony Bray

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Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s just a few miles inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 84 degrees.

TROPICS: Typical El Nino conditions… the Atlantic basin remains very quiet this week, with most of the action over in the Pacific.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning Tallapoosa Co.

| 3:44 pm July 19, 2015

7-19-2015 3-48-15 PM

This warning is for the lower portion of Tallapoosa County.

Storms are lined up north of I-85 and US-80 in South Central Alabama, pushing south and southeast.

Torrential rains, deadly lightning, gusty winds are all accompanying the storms. The severe storm has the potential to produce winds over 60 mph, which can cause tree and power line damage.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTH CENTRAL TALLAPOOSA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 341 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MARTIN
DAM…OR 9 MILES NORTH OF TALLASSEE…MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
TALLASSEE…MARTIN DAM…TALLAPOOSA CITY…STILL WATERS RESORT…
LIBERTY CITY…REEVES AIRPORT…BLUE CREEK MARINA…YATES DAM…
REELTOWN AND YATES RESERVOIR.

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Severe Thunderstorm Warnings for Shelby and Calhoun Counties

| 1:14 pm July 19, 2015

7-19-2015 1-11-31 PM

Severe thunderstorm warnings are now in effect for parts of Shelby and Calhoun Counties.

The thunderstorms over Calhoun County is now severe with the potential for hail and especially damaging winds of 60 mph or greater. It is centered near Weaver and is pushing southeast. It will pass just north of Anniston and move toward Heflin.

The storm approaching Alabaster is also severe with a threat for damaging winds. It is moving toward Calera.

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