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Big Warm-Up Today

| 5:52 am April 10, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD START: Many North/Central Alabama communities are in the 30s this morning. Some temperatures just before daybreak…

Black Creek 33
Fort Payne 34
Gadsden 36
Cottondale 36
Haleyville 36
Valley Head 37
Pleasant Grove 38
Cullman 39
Concord 39

Look for sunshine in full supply again today, and we warm into the mid 70s this afternoon.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: This fantastic spring weather will continue, with sunny days and fair nights. We reach the upper 70s tomorrow, and the high over the weekend will be around 80 degrees.

We note that SPC has introduced a severe weather risk for areas west of Alabama on day 4, which is Sunday…

day48prob

MONDAY/TUESDAY: A rather dynamic weather system will bring a round of showers and thunderstorms to Alabama. The GFS hints the primary surface low will be well to the north of here, and at this point the severe weather risk doesn’t look overwhelming, but then again this is mid-April and you have to watch any storm system closely. Looks like rain amounts of around one inch, not enough for a big flooding issue.

The GFS moves the rain out quickly Monday night, but the ECMWF is slower, and keeps rain going through Tuesday morning. Drier and cooler air follows the rain for mid-week… Wednesday morning looks cold, and like this morning there could be 30s across colder pockets of North/Central Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights through Sunday. Highs along the immediate coast will be in the upper 60s, with 70s inland. Next chance of showers and storms will come Monday… sea water temperatures are in the mid 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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I have a weather program today at McElwain Christian Academy in Birmingham… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Severe Clear

| 2:35 pm April 9, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; we are in Oxford programming NOAA Weather Radio receivers at the Publix; come see us if you need help… we will be here until 6:30 p.m.**

CHILLY NIGHT: Most communities will wind up in the low 40s early tomorrow with a clear sky and light wind, but keep in mind some of the traditionally colder spots will see a low in the mid to upper 30s with a touch of light frost possible. Nothing widespread or really damaging.

SPECTACULAR SPRING WEATHER: Doesn’t get any better; we expect sunny mild days and clear cool nights through Sunday. Highs in the mid 70s tomorrow, and upper 70s Friday and over the weekend. Some places could touch 80 degrees Saturday and Sunday afternoon.

STORMS RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK: The 12Z GFS continue the idea of a band of showers and storms moving into Alabama Monday…

gfs_precip_thick_east_22

This will be a dynamic system, and we will monitor it in coming days for potential for heavy rain and severe thunderstorms. Colder and drier air will follow the rain Tuesday and Wednesday.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tomorrow night at 8:30 CT.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

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Dry Through The Weekend

| 6:06 am April 9, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL APRIL DAY: We are starting the day generally in the 40s, and we project a high between 64 and 68 degrees this afternoon… below the average high of 73 for April 9. The sky will be mostly sunny.

Tonight will be rather chilly; most communities will see a low around 40 degrees early tomorrow, but the traditionally colder pockets will drop down into the mid to upper 30s with potential for some scattered light frost. A warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon with a sunny sky and a high in the mid 70s.

FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Doesn’t get any better. Sunny days, fair nights. Highs 77 to 80, lows in the 50s.

NEXT WEEK: Global models continue to advertise a fairly dynamic weather system impacting Alabama early next week with rain and thunderstorms Monday into Monday night. For now it doesn’t look like a big severe weather setup, but it is really too early to evaluate the severe weather/heavy rain potential. Cooler and drier air arrives Tuesday; see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through the weekend. Highs on the immediate coast will stay in the 60s because of the cooler ocean water, but 70s are likely just few miles inland. Sea water temperatures remain generally in the mid 60s. Next chance of wet weather on the coast will come on Monday.

WEATHER RADIO PROGRAMMING: We will be at the Publix in Oxford today from 3:30 until 6:30… if you need your weather radio programmed, have questions, or need to buy one, come see us.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program today at South Shades Crest Elementary in Hoover… due to travel there won’t be an afternoon Weather Xtreme video today, but I will post forecast notes here by 4:00. Enjoy the day!

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Storms Moving Into Alabama

| 3:30 pm April 8, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Showers and storms have moved into West Alabama this afternoon as a cold core upper trough approaches. Due to the cold air aloft, some small hail is possible, but I doubt if the storms reach severe limits (the hail must be 1 inch in diameter or larger to be considered severe).

Screen Shot 2014-04-08 at 3.21.19 PM

Showers will move across Alabama between now and midnight… rain amounts of 1/4 to 1/2 inch are expected, so no flooding issues this time.

TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY: The sky becomes mostly sunny tomorrow, but the weather will stay cool with a high in the mid 60s. Thursday morning will be pretty chilly with a low around 40 degrees; the traditionally colder places across North and Central Alabama will see mid to upper 30s, and a touch of light frost is possible, but for now the frost is not expected to be widespread or especially harmful.

A nice warming trend begins Thursday with a sunny sky and a high in the mid 70s. Friday will be sunny with a high in the upper 70s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looks delightful, with sunny warm days, and fair nights. Highs 77-81, with lows in the 50s.

NEXT WEEK: A dynamic weather system will bring rain and thunderstorms to Alabama Monday. The GFS brings the primary surface low right over Alabama, meaning the primary threat could be heavy rain and potential flooding, but it is way too early to determine the severe weather threat since that could easily change.

After the rain, a shot of colder air will arrive for mid-week, and once again we will need to monitor this for potential for a frost/freeze situation. See the Weather Xtreme video for the latest maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: A few showers are likely on the coast tonight, then mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through the weekend (just a small risk of a shower Sunday afternoon). Highs on the immediate coast will stay in the 60s because of the cooler ocean water, but 70s are likely just few miles inland. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 65 degrees.

WEATHER RADIO PROGRAMMING: We will be at the Publix in Oxford tomorrow from 3:30 until 6:30… if you need your weather radio programmed, have questions, or need to buy one, come see us.

ON THIS DATE IN 1998: An EF-5 tornado killed 32 people in the western Birmingham suburbs of Oak Grove, Rock Creek, Sylvan Springs, Edgewater, McDonald Chapel, and Pratt City. The same parent thunderstorm dropped another tornado in St. Clair County, killing two north of Pell City.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show Thursday at 8:30p CT.

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I had a great time today visiting with the first graders at Elvin Hill Elementary in Columbiana; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Watching Storms To Our West

| 1:40 pm April 8, 2014

We are keeping a careful watch on some thunderstorms moving east across Mississippi today. These will move into Alabama later this afternoon and will bring a threat of some gusty winds and hail.

A cold pocket of air in the upper-levels, which is very favorable for hail development, is moving across the region today. The cold pocket is allowing for a bit of destabilization of the atmosphere and is why we are seeing this convection develop.

There have been a few severe thunderstorm warnings with these storms over Mississippi, mostly because of the hail threat. Numerous reports from the NWS in Jackson of pea to marble size hail occurring and some storms are producing enough hail to cover the ground in some areas. Certainly something for us to pay attention to heading through the rest of today.

4-8-2014 1-36-26 PM

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Showers Late Today/Tonight

| 6:04 am April 8, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOLER: Most communities are in the 40s early this morning, but we do note Haleyville and Muscle Shoals are in the upper 30s just before daybreak. Today will be mostly cloudy with a high in the mid 60s; the average high for April 8 is 72 degrees.

SHOWERS TONIGHT: A deep upper trough will swing through here tonight and bring the risk of showers to our state. The main window for showers will come from about 4:00 p.m. to midnight, and thankfully the rain won’t be too heavy with amounts under 1/2 inch, so no flooding issues this time.

Due to the very cold air aloft, some thunder is possible in spots, but no severe weather since there is no surface based instability.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: Sunshine returns tomorrow, but the weather stays cool with a high in the mid to upper 60s. Thursday morning will be cold, but at this point it looks like the frost potential will be limited to the traditionally colder spots over North Alabama, where mid 30s are possible. Most communities will see a low around 40 degrees at daybreak Thursday. Then, we warm into the 70s Thursday with a bright sunny sky.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Some great spring weather. Sunny warm days, fair nights. Highs in the 75 to 80 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: A dynamic weather system will bring the next round of showers and storms Monday; a little too early to determine if this will be a severe weather or flood threat, but something to watch in coming days. Then, much colder air drops in here Tuesday and Wednesday, and models are hinting at another run at a frost/freeze threat. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: A few showers are likely on the coast tonight, then mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through the weekend (just a small risk of a shower Sunday afternoon). Highs on the immediate coast will stay in the 60s because of the cooler ocean water, but 70s are likely just few miles inland. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 65 degrees.

WEATHER RADIO PROGRAMMING: We will be at the Publix in Oxford tomorrow from 3:30 until 6:30… if you need your weather radio programmed, have questions, or need to buy one, come see us.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show Thursday night at 8:30p CT.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program this morning at Elvin Hill Elementary School in Columbiana… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Whole Lot of Rain, 2

| 5:18 pm April 7, 2014

Ryan provided a summary of the rainfall across Alabama with a great graphic showing the radar estimated rainfall. This is a fantastic way to see how much rain fell, but there can be elements that vary enough to throw off the estimates from radar. This is one of the reasons meteorologists rely on ground truth observations to help calibrate the wonderful tools we use like radar. So the NWS in Birmingham issued a summary of rainfall reports across their county warning area about two hours ago. I’ve posted the information below.

-Brian-

NOUS44 KBMX 072029
PNSBMX
ALZ011>015-017>050-080828-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
328 PM CDT MON APR 7 2014


...LATEST STORM TOTAL RAINFALL REPORTS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...

LOCATION                       AMOUNT    TIME/DATE       LAT/LON

...AUTAUGA...
2 SSE PLANTERSVILLE            3.74 IN   0700 AM 04/07   32.61N/86.91W
2 NE PRATTVILLE                2.86 IN   0302 PM 04/07   32.49N/86.42W
2 SE PRATTVILLE                2.67 IN   0315 PM 04/07   32.44N/86.43W
1 NNW PRATTVILLE               2.40 IN   0313 PM 04/07   32.48N/86.45W

...BARBOUR...
CLAYTON                        2.67 IN   0600 AM 04/07   31.88N/85.48W

...BIBB...
WEST BLOCTON                   6.15 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.12N/87.13W
6 SW CENTREVILLE               3.95 IN   0600 AM 04/07   32.87N/87.24W
1 NNE BRENT                    3.32 IN   0226 PM 04/07   32.96N/87.17W

...BLOUNT...
1 WSW SMOKE RISE               3.22 IN   0313 PM 04/07   33.87N/86.84W

...BULLOCK...
7 WSW UNION SPRINGS            3.99 IN   0314 PM 04/07   32.10N/85.83W

...CALHOUN...
ANNISTON ARPT ASOS             3.60 IN   0653 AM 04/07   33.59N/85.86W
JACKSONVILLE ST UNIV           3.48 IN   0730 AM 04/07   33.83N/85.76W
1 ENE BYNUM                    3.05 IN   0305 PM 04/07   33.62N/85.94W
2 E FORT MCCLELLAN             3.00 IN   0246 PM 04/07   33.72N/85.76W

...CHAMBERS...
FIVE POINTS                    1.65 IN   0822 AM 04/07   33.02N/85.35W

...CHEROKEE...
WEISS DAM POWER HOUSE          3.12 IN   0700 AM 04/07   34.13N/85.80W

...CHILTON...
4 NE THORSBY                   1.68 IN   0311 PM 04/07   32.96N/86.67W

...CLAY...
2 ENE ASHLAND                  4.76 IN   0301 PM 04/07   33.28N/85.80W
3 NE LINEVILLE                 4.04 IN   0223 PM 04/07   33.35N/85.72W

...CLEBURNE...
2 W HEFLIN                     3.61 IN   0214 PM 04/07   33.65N/85.63W
HEFLIN                         0.03 IN   0315 PM 04/07   33.65N/85.58W

...COOSA...
10 SW ALEXANDER CITY           2.88 IN   0700 AM 04/07   32.82N/86.05W

...DALLAS...
SELMA                          3.56 IN   0530 AM 04/07   32.41N/87.02W

...ELMORE...
2 S TALLASSEE                  3.39 IN   0313 PM 04/07   32.50N/85.89W

...ETOWAH...
SARDIS CITY                    3.18 IN   0316 PM 04/07   34.17N/86.11W

...FAYETTE...
3 S BERRY                      3.78 IN   0630 AM 04/07   33.62N/87.61W

...GREENE...
GAINESVILLE                    5.21 IN   0500 AM 04/07   32.83N/88.13W

...HALE...
WARRIOR LOCK AND DAM           4.27 IN   0600 AM 04/07   32.77N/87.83W

...JEFFERSON...
3 ESE BESSEMER                 6.58 IN   0315 PM 04/07   33.35N/86.91W
CAHABA PUMP HOUSE              5.77 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.45N/86.72W
3 NE FAIRFIELD                 4.91 IN   0215 PM 04/07   33.52N/86.88W
2 NE HOOVER                    4.71 IN   0303 PM 04/07   33.40N/86.80W
LEEDS                          4.70 IN   0800 AM 04/07   33.54N/86.53W
BIRMINGHAM ARPT ASOS           4.49 IN   0653 AM 04/07   33.57N/86.75W
1 NW TRUSSVILLE                3.74 IN   0304 PM 04/07   33.65N/86.62W
4 NNE PINSON                   3.51 IN   0309 PM 04/07   33.74N/86.64W

...LAMAR...
5 W MILLPORT                   2.52 IN   0313 PM 04/07   33.55N/88.17W
6 WNW VERNON                   2.14 IN   0306 PM 04/07   33.79N/88.21W

...LEE...
3 NNE AUBURN                   3.62 IN   0304 PM 04/07   32.63N/85.47W
2 NW OPELIKA                   2.86 IN   0304 PM 04/07   32.68N/85.40W
AUBURN                         2.54 IN   0655 AM 04/07   32.62N/85.43W
WASTE WATER TREATMENT PLT      2.37 IN   0800 AM 04/07   32.66N/85.45W
12 SE AUBURN                   2.10 IN   0500 AM 04/07   32.45N/85.37W

...MACON...
9 ESE NOTASULGA                4.80 IN   0226 PM 04/07   32.48N/85.56W

...MARENGO...
DEMOPOLIS                      2.79 IN   0305 PM 04/07   32.52N/87.84W

...MONTGOMERY...
MONTGOMERY DANNELLY FIELD      4.13 IN   0653 AM 04/07   32.30N/86.41W
5 E MONTGOMERY                 3.69 IN   0312 PM 04/07   32.35N/86.19W
5 WNW MONTGOMERY               3.42 IN   0658 AM 04/07   32.38N/86.37W
7 WSW SHORTER                  3.36 IN   0315 PM 04/07   32.37N/86.06W

...PERRY...
9 WNW MAPLESVILLE              2.12 IN   0241 PM 04/07   32.83N/87.04W

...PICKENS...
ALICEVILLE LOCK AND DAM        4.32 IN   0500 AM 04/07   33.21N/88.29W

...PIKE...
TROY MUNICIPAL APT             4.37 IN   0653 AM 04/07   31.78N/85.95W

...RANDOLPH...
R.L. HARRIS DAM                4.86 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.25N/85.62W
WADLEY NR 2                    1.71 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.13N/85.58W

...RUSSELL...
HURTSBORO                      3.49 IN   0301 PM 04/07   32.24N/85.42W
3 ESE SEALE                    2.52 IN   0700 AM 04/07   32.29N/85.12W
2 SSW PHENIX CITY              1.87 IN   0316 PM 04/07   32.44N/85.02W

...SHELBY...
3 N CHELSEA                    5.27 IN   0313 PM 04/07   33.37N/86.64W
2 WSW ALABASTER                5.17 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.22N/86.86W
3 SE PELHAM                    5.06 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.27N/86.76W
1 SE HELENA                    4.69 IN   0313 PM 04/07   33.27N/86.83W
1 WNW HELENA                   4.55 IN   0315 PM 04/07   33.30N/86.87W
1 S HELENA                     4.52 IN   0315 PM 04/07   33.27N/86.86W
SHELBY COUNTY AIRPORT          4.32 IN   0653 AM 04/07   33.18N/86.78W
HELENA                         3.37 IN   0313 PM 04/07   33.29N/86.85W
CALERA                         3.36 IN   0600 AM 04/07   33.11N/86.75W

...ST. CLAIR...
LOGAN MARTIN DAM               3.88 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.43N/86.33W
2 SSW MARGARET                 3.22 IN   1058 AM 04/07   33.66N/86.49W
2 E MARGARET                   2.60 IN   0352 AM 04/07   33.69N/86.44W

...SUMTER...
1 SSW LIVINGSTON               3.91 IN   0230 PM 04/07   32.57N/88.19W

...TALLADEGA...
2 SSE TALLADEGA                4.30 IN   0800 AM 04/07   33.41N/86.09W
7 ENE VINCENT                  4.28 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.44N/86.31W
WATER PLANT                    4.04 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.21N/86.21W
WASTE WATER TREATMENT PLT      3.98 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.42N/86.14W
1 ENE TALLADEGA                3.59 IN   0226 PM 04/07   33.44N/86.08W

...TALLAPOOSA...
ALEXANDER CITY                 3.41 IN   0700 AM 04/07   32.95N/85.95W

...TUSCALOOSA...
5 W NORTHPORT                  5.31 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.24N/87.69W
12 S BERRY                     4.86 IN   0230 PM 04/07   33.48N/87.60W
14 N BROOKWOOD                 4.21 IN   0230 PM 04/07   33.46N/87.35W
OLIVER LOCK AND DAM            3.79 IN   0403 AM 04/07   33.21N/87.59W
TUSCALOOSA REGIONAL AIRPORT    3.69 IN   0653 AM 04/07   33.22N/87.61W
2 NE HOLT                      3.65 IN   0700 AM 04/07   33.25N/87.45W
8 NE VANCE                     3.49 IN   0310 PM 04/07   33.27N/87.16W

...WALKER...
2 ENE JASPER                   3.13 IN   0211 PM 04/07   33.86N/87.24W

...WINSTON...
ADDISON                        2.99 IN   0630 AM 04/07   34.20N/87.18W

OBSERVATIONS ARE COLLECTED FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES WITH VARYING
EQUIPMENT AND EXPOSURE. NOT ALL DATA LISTED ARE CONSIDERED OFFICIAL.

$$

NWS BIRMINGHAM AL

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Cooler Days Ahead

| 3:43 pm April 7, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A few showers are near the Georgia border this afternoon ahead of a cold front passing through Alabama. You can see the difference on either side of the front; at 2:00 Haleyville reported 54 degrees, while Montgomery was 22 degrees warmer at 76.

We will be mostly cloudy tonight, but dry. And, the weather turns colder. Most communities will see a low between 41 and 45 degrees early tomorrow.

MORE SHOWERS: A deep, cold core upper trough will pass over Alabama tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night, and it will bring the threat of more rain. Nothing like last night… no flooding or severe weather, but it will clearly rain at times over much of North/Central Alabama. The main window for showers will come from about 4:00 p.m. through 12:00 midnight; rain amounts of around 1/4 to 1/2 inch are likely. Due to the very cold air aloft, there could be some thunder involved in spots. The sky will be mostly cloudy tomorrow with a high in the mid 60s.

Wednesday will be a mostly sunny day with a high in the mid 60s.

THURSDAY MORNING FROST POTENTIAL: Colder pockets across North/Central Alabama will visit the mid 30s early Thursday with potential for some light frost. I don’t think it will be especially damaging, but growers need to be aware of the situation.

Thursday, Friday, and Saturday will be delightful spring days with a warming trend; the high by Friday and Saturday will be very close to 80 degrees. Sunday looks dry as well with a partly sunny sky; the next chance of showers and storms will come early next week on Monday. Too early to determine if there will be a severe weather threat… see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show Thursday night at 8:30 CT.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

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