Author Archive: Ryan Stinnett

Montgomery Television Meteorologist and long time Contributor on AlabamaWX. Stormchaser. I did not choose Weather, it chose Me. College Football Fanatic. @Ryan_Stinnet

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Storms Meandering About Central Alabama

| September 11, 2016 @ 4:29 pm


The frontal boundary is sitting nearly stationary across Central Alabama. This boundary is providing enough uplift to allow numerous showers and storms to develop, mainly south of the Interstate 20 corridor, and really concentrated between Birmingham and Montgomery.

Many of these storms are developing and pulsing up due to the outflow boundaries from the other showers and storms out there this afternoon. No storms are severe, and we are not expecting severe storms. These showers and storms are producing gusty winds, intense rainfall, and the most dangerous feature with these storms is the frequent lightning. When THUNDER ROARS, GO INDOORS!!! Of course, the general slow movement could allow for some very isolated areas of flash flooding.

Locations around Demopolis, Rockford, Clanton, Montgomery, and Camden. These showers and storms are going to continue the next few hours, but should begin to slowly wind down later this evening as instability decreases with the loss of daytime heating.

Storms Rolling Through North Alabama

| September 10, 2016 @ 7:46 pm

A line of storms ahead of a frontal boundary is tracking southeast through Northwest Alabama. These storms are are heading towards the Birmingham Metro. Before these storms get to the Metro area, they are going to be tracking through cities such as Jasper, Cullman, Fayette, and Vernon.

Storms are producing a lot of lightning, intense rainfall, and gusty winds, but none of these storms are severe, and severe weather is not expected tonight. They are also knocking temperatures down from the mid and upper 80s, into the 70s. These storms are expected to maintain their intensity for the next few hours but should begin to wind down by about 10PM and become more isolated as the better dynamics are north of Alabama, and daytime heating is loss.

These storms are expected to at least make it to the Interstate 20 corridor before they begin to dissipate.


Quick Evening Radar Check

| September 10, 2016 @ 5:51 pm

Watching a line of showers and storms tracking into Northwest Alabama this evening. None of these storms are severe, but these storms are producing a lot of lightning, gusty winds, and intense rainfall.

They are tracking southeast and will be impacting some of our northwestern communities, but with the loss of daytime heating after sunset, they should begin to slowly wind down, and we are not expecting them to make it much farther southeast than the Interstate 59 corridor this evening.


Mainly Sunny and Hot Saturday Afternoon

| September 10, 2016 @ 1:13 pm


Plenty of sun today and temperature have responded; after starting the day off in the 60s and 70s, we are seeing lower and mid 90s for many locations.


No rain showing up early this afternoon in Central Alabama, but we are seeing a few very light and isolated showers trying to develop over East Mississippi. We are not expecting much in the way of shower/storm activity until the front gets closer. Currently, early this afternoon, the front stretches from northern Michigan, down into Central Arkansas, and Deep South Texas.


Not much shower/storm activity along the front currently, but that is expected to change as the SPC is forecasting severe weather along this boundary later today, especially over the Ohio Valley. We do note, the “marginal risk” extends into the extreme northern part of Alabama, but for the most part severe weather is just not expected in Alabama due to the lack of shear.


TONIGHT: Increasing clouds are expected and we are going to see a few showers/storms in Alabama as the front sinks towards the southeast, but nothing too widespread is expected.

SUNDAY: The front stalls across Central Alabama as the better dynamics shift towards the Northeast U.S. We are going to see a mix of sun and clouds tomorrow, and we will mention the chance of a few scattered, mainly afternoon and evening showers and storms, but once again, these are expected to be few and far between. Highs tomorrow in Central Alabama should be in the upper 80s, while mid 90s are expected across South Alabama.

Standard Early September Saturday

| September 3, 2016 @ 1:59 pm

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A mix of sun and clouds out there this afternoon and we are seeing a few showers wandering about the Central Alabama landscape, but nothing too widespread or intense. That is what we expect the rest of the day in the area, while portions of Southwest Alabama are seeing a few storms, but overall, not a bad first Saturday of September and college football season.

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Temperatures are mainly in the 80s throughout Central Alabama, and these should top out in the the mid to upper 80s this afternoon.

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FOR YOUR SUNDAY: The threat of rain goes down after today and we should see more sun than clouds tomorrow, and highs should be into the lower 90s. The threat of rain should be confined to southern portions of the state.

LABOR DAY: A generally dry pattern continues for the holiday with mainly sunny conditions and highs in the lower 90s. While the chance of rain won’t be zero, odds are very small of any one spot seeing shower, and we won’t mention it in the forecast.

A Hot Saturday Afternoon

| August 27, 2016 @ 1:35 pm

Our weather continues to be dominated by the influence of the upper ridge across the Deep South. For today we are seeing plenty of sun and hot conditions as temperatures are in the 90s out there this afternoon.

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We are watching a few of those isolated storms this afternoon, but for the most part the radar has very little activity currently. Most of this activity is across northern portions of the state and are tracking towards the northeast.

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Tomorrow’s weather will be the same, expect partly to mostly sunny, hot, humid conditions with isolated, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will be generally in the low to mid 90s.

INVEST 99L: Looks unimpressive today as the weak area of low pressure located between the northern coast of Cuba and Andros Island in the Bahamas continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly to the south and east of its center.

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Upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development during the next day or so while the low moves west-northwestward through the Straits of Florida at about 10 mph. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development when the system moves into the eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week. Heavy rains are likely to continue over portions of eastern and central Cuba today. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are likely over portions of the Bahamas, and will spread into parts of southern Florida and the Florida Keys by Sunday. The Hurricane Hunter aircraft mission scheduled to investigate this system today has been cancelled.

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This feature could still develop but the NHC give this feature a 40% of development the next five days. Due to the upper-ridge over the Southeast, it appears the system will continue to track west across the Gulf. The computer models are still struggling with this system and there is a lot of uncertainty with it, so stay tuned…

Midday Nowcast: A Tale of Two Air Masses

| August 22, 2016 @ 12:08 pm

The state of Alabama is currently being bisected by a stalled frontal boundary roughly along the U.S. 80 corridor running from Demopolis east to Selma, Montgomery, and Phenix City. Just to the north of this boundary and across South Alabama, it remains rather muggy with dew points in the 70s, however, across northern portions of Alabama, dew points are in 50s and 60s and oh so comfortable.

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The drier air is ever so slowly trying to move south through the state, but it is having a hard time doing so as the upper-level support is lacking. Due to the continue elevated dew points roughly along and south of the Interstate 20 corridor, the threat of showers and storms will remain in the forecast for this afternoon. For northern portions of the state, temperatures are in the 70s at midday, while 80s and 90s are widespread for the southern two-thirds of the state.

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Outside early this afternoon we are seeing more sun than clouds, but clouds will continue to increase in coverage the next several hours as those showers and storms start to develop across the state.

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Speaking of those showers and storms, they are beginning to pop-up across the Alabama landscape. As we have seen the past several weeks, storms that develop today are going to produce brief heavy downpours, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. The majority of today’s activity will be along and south of Interstate 20, however, showers are possible north of there, as far north as the U.S. 278 corridor.

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The rest of today, look for a mix of sun and clouds, with scattered showers and storms that will likely continue at least through the evening hours, before gradually winding down overnight. Lows tonight will be able to get down into the 60s east of Interstate 65, while lower 70s expected west of there. You will notice the slightly direr and less humid air.

More Scattered Storms this Afternoon

| August 21, 2016 @ 1:18 pm

More mugginess today as we are anxiously watching the weak front to our northwest trying to move south. Early this afternoon, the front is located from near Buffalo, New York, southeast into the Tennessee Valley of Alabama. This boundary will continue to sink southward today and overnight, but it is slowing down.

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This will be the focal point for the showers and storms we are and will be seeing out there today and this evening. These are tracking towards the east and will persist into the evening hours. They will produce brief heavy downpours, gusty winds, and lots of lightning.

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HOW FAR SOUTH WILL FRONT MAKE IT?: The upper-level support for the front will be sliding more east than south, and that will cause the front to stall across Central Alabama tomorrow, and it looks to do that around the Interstate 20 corridor. It is August in Alabama and getting a front to push through the state is very hard. North of the front, expect dry conditions, with humid and scattered showers and storms south of the front tomorrow.

Lots of Lightning with Storms

| August 20, 2016 @ 4:49 pm

Several clusters of showers and storms are moving rapidly across Central Alabama this afternoon. No storms are severe, but these storms are producing gusty winds, intense rainfall, and frequent and dangerous lightning.

The main storms we are watching stretch from Cullman County, back through Walker, Tuscaloosa, Pickens, Sumter, and Greene counties. Some of these could be impacting the Birmingham Metro during the early evening hours.

Additional storms are impacting Clay County, as well as Perry, Bibb, and Dallas counties These will be moving into Chilton County and likely will affect Clanton, and the Interstate 65 corridor.

These storms are allowing temperatures to fall from 80s and 90s, down into the 70s, which is some much appreciated heat relief.

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Active Afternoon Radar

| August 20, 2016 @ 2:40 pm

A very tropical air mass remains in place across Alabama this weekend. Temperatures are in the upper 80s and lower 90s for much of the area. We are seeing a mix of sun and clouds, with numerous showers and a few storms covering the radar map this afternoon.

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Much of this activity is moving towards the east-northeast a fairly quick clip and these showers/storms are producing brief heavy downpours, some gusty winds, and lightning. This activity will continue through the afternoon, evening, and should slowly dissipate during the overnight hours.

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MORE STORMS SUNDAY: The weather will once again be unsettled across the state tomorrow. Sunday will be a day very similar to today as scattered to numerous showers and storms are expected, with more clouds than suns, as we wait on the front approaching from the north. Highs tomorrow will likely be in the upper 80s tomorrow, with some lower 90s across southern communities.