10pm Update on Hurricane Helene
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Helene was located near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 86.6 West. Helene is moving toward the north at 9 mph (15 km/h).
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Helene was located near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 86.6 West. Helene is moving toward the north at 9 mph (15 km/h).
Hurricane Helene continues to churn her way over the Yucatán Channel and will soon be entering the southern Gulf of Mexico.
With the latest shift a little to the west in the projected path of Helene, the following watches, warnings, and advisories may be extended westward as well.
With Helene racing toward the Florida Big Bend Region, plenty of moisture will be pulled north and very heavy rain and the risk of flooding in place for parts of Alabama.
Helene is located near 19.9°N, 85.5°W, about 100 miles ESE of Cozumel, Mexico, and 145 miles SSW of the western tip of Cuba. The storm is moving WNW at 10 mph with sustained winds of 60 mph. Minimum central pressure is 991 mb.
Storms have weakened across North and West Central Alabama, but activity is expected to pick back up overnight and into tomorrow afternoon, with strong storms possible southeast of I-59.
At 408 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Detroit, or 12 miles west of Hamilton, moving east at 35 mph.
Monitoring closely the storms firing in Northwest Alabama and eastern Mississippi. They continue to move over the same areas and we may begin to see isolated flooding start to form. There is a severe storm at Smithville, MS.
Scattered thunderstorms are starting to pop along a cold front. There is a marginal risk of severe storms across parts of Northern Alabama, with the main risk damaging wind gusts. In addition, we have chances for very heavy rain that could lead to isolated flooding.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed parts of Northern Alabama under a marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) of severe thunderstorms today. This activity would form along a slow-moving cold front.
As of 11 PM EDT, the system is located about 100 miles southwest of Grand Cayman and is moving north-northwest at 6 mph with maximum winds of 35 mph and a central pressure of 1002 MB.
The latest European ensemble members model run is out, and there is a 60% chance that a tropical storm will develop over the Gulf of Mexico.
As we continue to hear about the potential for a tropical system developing over the Gulf of Mexico next week, the models are all over the place in strength, directions, and landfall locations.
The U.S Drought Monitor has issued their latest update. Tropical moisture from Hurricane Francine did help a bit in some areas with the drought conditions. One to locally two-category drought reductions occurred especially where extreme rainfall was seen. Sadly, some areas saw such extreme rain it led to massive flooding. Here is this week’s snapshot: […]